Items where Author is "Osborn, Timothy"

Reyniers, Nele, Zha, Qianyu, Addor, Nans, Osborn, Timothy J., Forstenhäusler, Nicole and He, Yi (2025) Two sets of bias-corrected regional UK Climate Projections 2018 (UKCP18) of temperature, precipitation and potential evapotranspiration for Great Britain. Earth System Science Data. ISSN 1866-3508 (In Press)

Qin, Chun, Yang, Bao, Bräuning, Achim, Charpentier ljungqvist, Fredrik, Osborn, Timothy J., Shishov, Vladimir, He, Minhui, Kang, Shuyuan, Schneider, Lea, Esper, Jan, Büntgen, Ulf, Grießinger, Jussi, Huang, Danqing, Zhang, Peng, Talento, Stefanie, Xoplaki, Elena, Luterbacher, Jürg and Stenseth, Nils Chr. (2025) Persistent humid climate favored the Qin and Western Han Dynasties in China around 2,200 y ago. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 122 (1). ISSN 0027-8424

Osborn, Timothy J. and Kennedy, John J. (2024) Revised historical record sharpens perspective on global warming. Nature, 635 (8039). pp. 560-561. ISSN 0028-0836

Seager, Richard, Wu, Yutian, Cherchi, Annalisa, Simpson, Isla R., Osborn, Timothy J., Kushnir, Yochanan, Lukovic, Jelena, Liu, Haibo and Nakamura, Jennifer (2024) Recent and near-term future changes in impacts-relevant seasonal hydroclimate in the world's Mediterranean climate regions. International Journal of Climatology, 44 (11). pp. 3792-3820. ISSN 0899-8418

Barichivich, Jonathan, Osborn, Timothy J., Harris, Ian, van der Schrier, Gerard and Jones, Philip D. (2024) Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate in 2023"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105. S70-S71. ISSN 0003-0007

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy J. and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Wood Buffalo National Park, Alberta/Northwest Territories, Canada under differing levels of warming. UNSPECIFIED.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy J. and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Waterton Lakes National Park Of Canada under differing levels of warming. Zenodo.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Big Bend National Park, Texas under differing levels of warming. Zenodo.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy J. and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Shenandoah National Park under differing levels of warming. UNSPECIFIED.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy J. and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Necedah National Wildlife Refuge, Wisconsin under differing levels of warming. Zenodo.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy J. and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Yosemite National Park under differing levels of warming. Zenodo.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Cairngorms National Park, Scotland under differing levels of warming. Zenodo.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Jau National Park, Brazil under differing levels of warming. Zenodo.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Virunga National Park, DRC under differing levels of warming. Zenodo.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Okapi Wildlife Reserve, Democratic Republic of Congo under differing levels of warming. Zenodo.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Bwindi Impenetrable National Park, Uganda under differing levels of warming. Zenodo.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Volcanoes National Park, Rwanda under differing levels of warming. UNSPECIFIED.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Mgahinga Gorilla National Park, Uganda under differing levels of warming. Zenodo.

Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Graham, Erin, Osborn, Timothy J. and Warren, Rachel (2024) Report on the observed climate, projected climate, and projected biodiversity changes for Ngorongoro Conservation Area under differing levels of warming. UNSPECIFIED.

Jones, P. D. and Osborn, T. J. (2024) Climate Record: Surface Temperature Trends. In: Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences. Elsevier. ISBN 9780124095489

Wallis, Emily J., Osborn, Timothy J., Taylor, Michael, Jones, Philip D., Joshi, Manoj and Hawkins, Ed (2024) Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations. International Journal of Climatology, 44 (5). pp. 1611-1635. ISSN 0899-8418

Osborn, Timothy, Wallis, Emily, Joshi, Manoj, Taylor, Michael, Hawkins, Edward, Schurer, Andrew and Morice, Colin P. (2024) Do the early nineteenth century eruptions strengthen evidence for volcanically-induced Eurasian winter warming? In: UNSPECIFIED.

Morice, Colin P., Berry, David I., Cornes, Richard C., Cowtan, Kevin, Cropper, Thomas, Kennedy, John J., Kent, Elizabeth, Rayner, Nick, Steptoe, Hamish, Osborn, Timothy, Taylor, Michael, Wallis, Emily and Winn, Jonathan (2024) A new observational analysis of near surface air temperature change since the late 18th century developed for the GloSAT project. In: EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024. Copernicus Publications.

Warren, Rachel, Price, Jeff, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Andrews, Oliver, Brown, Sally, Ebi, Kristie, Gernaat, David, Goodwin, Philip, Guan, Dabo, He, Yi, Manful, Desmond, Yin, Zhiqiang, Hu, Yi, Jenkins, Katie, Jenkins, Rhosanna, Kennedy-Asser, Alan, Osborn, Timothy J., van Vuuren, Detlef, Wallace, Craig, Wang, Daoping and Wright, Rebecca (2024) Risks associated with global warming of 1.5 to 4°C above pre-industrial levels in human and natural systems in six countries. Climatic Change, 177 (3). ISSN 0165-0009

Wilson Kemsley, Sarah, Osborn, Timothy J., Dorling, Stephen R. and Wallace, Craig (2024) Pattern scaling the parameters of a Markov-Chain gamma-distribution daily precipitation generator. International Journal of Climatology, 44 (1). pp. 144-159. ISSN 0899-8418

Ivanov, Gennadiy, Osborn, Timothy, Taylor, Michael, Davies, Trevor, Pomeroy, John and Waters, Alan (2023) A climate mural for our times. One Earth, 6 (12). pp. 1628-1630. ISSN 2590-3322

Barichivich, Jonathan, Osborn, Timothy, Harris, Ian, Van Der Schrier, Gerard and Jones, Philip (2023) Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (9). ISSN 0003-0007

Davies, Trevor, Taylor, Michael and Osborn, Timothy (2023) The Stories behind the Painted Scenes:A climate mural for our times. University of East Anglia.

Archer, Elizabeth J., Baker-Austin, Craig, Osborn, Timothy J., Jones, Natalia R., Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime, Trinanes, Joaquin A., Oliver, James D., Colón González, Felipe J. and Lake, Iain R. (2023) Climate warming and increasing Vibrio vulnificus infections in North America. Scientific Reports, 13. ISSN 2045-2322

Reyniers, Nele, Osborn, Timothy J., Addor, Nans and Darch, Geoff (2023) Projected changes in droughts and extreme droughts in Great Britain strongly influenced by the choice of drought index. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 27 (5). pp. 1151-1171. ISSN 1607-7938

Taylor, Michael, Osborn, Timothy, Jones, Philip, Lister, David, Wallis, Emily and Harris, Ian (2022) Growing the African land surface air temperature record:by assimilation of short-segment time series. In: Growing the African land surface air temperature record. Figshare.

Fairchild, Emily, Davies, Trevor, Taylor, Michael and Osborn, Timothy (2022) A Climate Mural for Our Times: Global Science, Local Expression:The Story Behind the Mural. University of East Anglia.

Price, Jeff, Warren, Rachel, Forstenhäusler, Nicole, Wallace, Craig, Jenkins, Rhosanna, Osborn, Timothy J. and van Vuuren, D. P. (2022) Quantification of meteorological drought risks between 1.5°C and 4°C of global warming in six countries. Climatic Change, 174 (1-2). ISSN 0165-0009

Barichivich, Jonathan, Osborn, Timothy J., Harris, Ian, van der Schrier, Gerard and Jones, Philip (2022) Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index. In: State of the Climate in 2021. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (8). American Meteorological Society, S66-S67.

Hantemirov, Rashit M., Corona, Christophe, Guillet, Sebastien, Shiyatov, Stepan G., Stoffel, Markus, Osborn, Timothy J., Melvin, Thomas M., Gorlanova, Ludmila A., Kukarskih, Vladimir V., Surkov, Alexander Y., von Arx, Georg and Fonti, Patrick (2022) Current Siberian heating is unprecedented during the past seven millennia. Nature Communications, 13. ISSN 2041-1723

Warren, Rachel, Andrews, Oliver, Brown, Sally, Colón-González, Felipe J., Forstenhaeusler, Nicole, Gernaat, David E. H. J., Goodwin, Philip, Harris, Ian, He, Helen, Hope, Chris, Manful, Desmond, Osborn, Timothy J., Price, Jeff, van Vuuren, Detlef and Wright, Rebecca Mary (2022) Quantifying risks avoided by limiting global warming to 1.5 or 2°C above pre-industrial levels. Climatic Change, 172 (3-4). ISSN 0165-0009

Yang, Bao, Qin, Chun, Bräuning, Achim, Osborn, Timothy J., Trouet, Valerie, Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier, Esper, Jan, Schneider, Lea, Grießinger, Jussi, Büntgen, Ulf, Rossi, Sergio, Dong, Guanghui, Yan, Mi, Ning, Liang, Wang, Jianglin, Wang, Xiaofeng, Fan, Beixi, Wang, Suming, Luterbacher, Jürg, Cook, Edward R. and Stenseth, Nils Chr (2022) Reply to Weiss: Tree-ring stable oxygen isotopes suggest an increase in Asian monsoon rainfall at 4.2 ka BP. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119 (20). ISSN 0027-8424

He, Yi, Manful, Desmond, Warren, Rachel, Forstenhaeusler, Nicole, Osborn, Timothy J., Price, Jeff, Jenkins, Rhosanna, Wallace, Craig and Yamazaki, Dai (2022) Quantification of impacts between 1.5°C and 4°C of global warming on flooding risks in six countries. Climatic Change, 170 (1-2). ISSN 0165-0009

Wilson Kemsley, Sarah, Osborn, Timothy, Dorling, Steve, Wallace, Craig and Parker, Joanne (2021) The development and application of a pattern-scaled stochastic weather generator as a computationally efficient tool to study future climate variability. In: AGU Fall Meeting 2021, 2021-12-13 - 2021-12-17, New Orleans, LA & Online Everywhere.

Wilson Kemsley, Sarah, Osborn, Timothy, Dorling, Stephen, Wallace, Craig and Parker, Joanne (2021) Selecting Markov chain orders for generating daily precipitation series across different Köppen climate regimes. International Journal of Climatology, 41 (14). pp. 6223-6237. ISSN 0899-8418

Barichivich, Jonathan, Osborn, Timothy, Harris, Ian, van der Schrier, Gerard and Jones, Philip (2021) Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate in 2020" eds. Dunn RJH, Aldred F, Gobron N, Miller JB & Willett KM]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (8). S68-S70. ISSN 0003-0007

Yang, Bao, Qin, Chun, Bräuning, Achim, Osborn, Timothy, Trouet, Valerie, Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier, Esper, Jan, Schneider, Lea, Grießinger, Jussi, Büntgen, Ulf, Rossi, Sergio, Dong, Guanghui, Yan, Mi, Ning, Liang, Wang, Jianglin, Wang, Xiaofeng, Wang, Suming, Luterbacher, Jürg, Cook, Edward R. and Stenseth, Nils Chr. (2021) Long-term decrease in Asian monsoon rainfall and abrupt climate change events over the past 6,700 years. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118 (30). ISSN 0027-8424

Morice, Colin P., Kennedy, John J., Rayner, Nick A., Winn, J. P., Hogan, Emma, Killick, R. E., Dunn, R. J. H., Osborn, Timothy, Jones, Philip and Simpson, I. R. (2021) An updated assessment of near-surface temperature change from 1850: the HadCRUT5 dataset. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126 (3). ISSN 2169-897X

Ratna, Satyaban B., Cherchi, Annalisa, Osborn, Timothy J., Joshi, Manoj and Uppara, Umakanth (2021) The extreme positive Indian Ocean Dipole of 2019 and associated Indian summer monsoon rainfall response. Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (2). ISSN 0094-8276

Osborn, Timothy J., Jones, Philip D., Lister, David H., Morice, Colin P., Simpson, Ian R., Winn, J. P., Hogan, Emma and Harris, Ian C. (2021) Land surface air temperature variations across the globe updated to 2019: the CRUTEM5 dataset. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126 (2). ISSN 2169-897X

Ratna, Satyaban B., Osborn, Timothy J., Joshi, Manoj and Luterbacher, Jürg (2020) The influence of Atlantic variability on Asian summer climate is sensitive to the pattern of the sea surface temperature anomaly. Journal of Climate, 33 (17). 7567–7590. ISSN 0894-8755

Barichivich, Jonathan, Osborn, Timothy, Harris, Ian, Van Der Schrier, Gerard and Jones, Philip (2020) Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate in 2019"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101. S51-S52. ISSN 0003-0007

Seager, Richard, Liu, Haibo, Kushnir, Yochanan, Osborn, Timothy, Simpson, Isla, Kelley, Colin R. and Nakamura, Jennifer (2020) Mechanisms of winter precipitation variability in the European-Mediterranean region associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation. Journal of Climate, 33 (16). 7179–7196. ISSN 0894-8755

Talento, Stefanie, Osborn, Timothy, Joshi, Manoj, Ratna, S. B. and Luterbacher, Jürg (2020) Response of the Asian summer monsoons to a high-latitude thermal forcing: Mechanisms and nonlinearities. Climate Dynamics, 54 (9-10). 3927–3944. ISSN 0930-7575

Harris, Ian, Osborn, Timothy J., Jones, Phil and Lister, David (2020) Version 4 of the CRU TS monthly high-resolution gridded multivariate climate dataset. Scientific Data, 7. ISSN 2052-4463

Burt, Timothy P., Howden, N. J. K. and Osborn, Timothy (2020) Analysis of rainfall records from Dale Fort. Field Studies, 16 (3).

Schneider, Lea, Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier, Yang, Bao, Chen, Fahu, Chen, Jianhui, Li, Jianyong, Hao, Zhixin, Ge, Quan Sheng, Talento, Stefanie, Osborn, Timothy and Luterbacher, Jürg (2019) The impact of proxy selection strategies on a millennium-long ensemble of hydroclimatic records in Monsoon Asia. Quaternary Science Reviews, 223. ISSN 0277-3791

Ratna, S. B., Osborn, Timothy, Joshi, Manoj, Yang, Bao and Wang, Jianglin (2019) Identifying teleconnections and multidecadal variability of East Asian surface temperature during the last millennium in CMIP5 simulations. Climate of the Past, 15 (5). pp. 1825-1844. ISSN 1814-9324

Arnell, Nigel W., Lowe, Jason A., Bernie, Dan J., Nicholls, Robert J., Brown, Sally, Challinor, Andrew J. and Osborn, Timothy J. (2019) The global and regional impacts of climate change under Representative Concentration Pathway forcings and Shared Socioeconomic Pathway socioeconomic scenarios. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (8). ISSN 1748-9326

Barichivich, Jonathan, Osborn, Timothy, Harris, Ian, van der Schrier, Gerard and Jones, Philip (2019) Drought: Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (9). S39-S40. ISSN 0003-0007

Arnell, Nigel W., Lowe, Jason A., Challinor, Andrew J. and Osborn, Timothy J. (2019) Global and regional impacts of climate change at different levels of global temperature increase. Climatic Change, 155 (3). 377–391. ISSN 0165-0009

Seager, Richard, Osborn, Timothy, Kushnir, Yochanan, Simpson, Isla, Nakamura, Jennifer and Liu, Haibo (2019) Climate variability and change in Mediterranean-type climates. Journal of Climate, 32 (10). 2887–2915. ISSN 0894-8755

Kajtar, Jules, Collins, Matthew, Frankcombe, Leela, England, Matthew, Osborn, Timothy and Juniper, Marcus (2019) Global mean surface temperature response to large-scale patterns of variability in observations and CMIP5. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (4). pp. 2232-2241. ISSN 0094-8276

Meseguer-Ruiz, Oliver, Osborn, Timothy J., Sarricolea, Pablo, Jones, Philip, Olcina Cantos, Jorge, Serrano-Notivoli, Roberto and Martin‐Vide, Javier (2019) Definition of a temporal distribution index for high temporal resolution precipitation data over Peninsular Spain and the Balearic Islands: the fractal dimension; and its synoptic implications. Climate Dynamics, 52 (1-2). pp. 439-456. ISSN 0930-7575

Warren, R. F., Edwards, N. R., Babonneau, F., Bacon, P. M., Dietrich, J. P., Ford, R. W., Garthwaite, P., Gerten, D., Goswami, S., Haurie, A., Hiscock, K., Holden, P. B., Hyde, M. R., Joshi, S. R., Kanudia, A., Labriet, M., Leimbach, M., Oyebamiji, O.K., Osborn, T., Pizzileo, B., Popp, A., Price, J., Riley, G., Schaphoff, S., Slavin, P., Vielle, M. and Wallace, C. (2019) Producing policy-relevant science by enhancing robustness and model integration for the assessment of global environmental change. Environmental Modelling & Software, 111. pp. 248-258. ISSN 1364-8152

Wang, Jianglin, Yang, Bao, Osborn, Timothy J., Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier, Zhang, Huan and Luterbacher, Jürg (2018) Causes of East Asian temperature multidecadal variability since 850 CE. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (24). pp. 13485-13494. ISSN 0094-8276

Osborn, Timothy J., Jones, Philip D. and Cook, Edward R. (2018) In Memoriam: Keith R. Briffa, 1952–2017. The Holocene, 28 (10). pp. 1549-1553. ISSN 0959-6836

Osborn, Timothy, Barichivich, Jonathan, Harris, Ian, Van Der Schrier, Gerard and Jones, Philip (2018) Drought: Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate 2017"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (8). S36-S37. ISSN 0003-0007

Jones, Philip and Osborn, Timothy (2018) Climate Record: Surface Temperature Trends. In: Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences. Elsevier.

Osborn, Timothy J., Wallace, Craig J., Lowe, Jason A. and Bernie, Dan (2018) Performance of pattern-scaled climate projections under high-end warming, part I: surface air temperature over land. Journal of Climate, 31. 5667–5680. ISSN 0894-8755

Colon Gonzalez, Felipe De Jesus, Harris, Ian, Osborn, Timothy J., São Bernardo, Christine Steiner, Peres, Carlos A., Hunter, Paul R. and Lake, Iain R. (2018) Limiting global-mean temperature increase to 1.5-2°C could reduce the incidence and spatial spread of dengue fever in Latin America. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115 (24). pp. 6243-6248. ISSN 0027-8424

Murphy, Conor, Broderick, Ciaran, Burt, Timothy P., Curley, Mary, Duffy, Catriona, Hall, Julia, Harrigan, Shaun, Matthews, Tom K.R., Macdonald, Neil, McCarthy, Gerard, McCarthy, Mark P., Mullan, Donal, Noone, Simon, Osborn, Timothy J., Ryan, Ciara, Sweeney, John, Thorne, Peter W., Walsh, Seamus and Wilby, Robert L. (2018) A 305-year continuous monthly rainfall series for the Island of Ireland (1711-2016). Climate of the Past, 14 (3). pp. 413-440. ISSN 1814-9324

Arnell, Nigel W., Lowe, Jason A., Lloyd-Hughes, Ben and Osborn, Timothy J. (2018) The impacts avoided with a 1.5C climate target: a global and regional assessment. Climatic Change, 147 (1-2). 61–76. ISSN 0165-0009

Hughes, Malcolm K., Cook, Edward R., Osborn, Timothy and Melvin, Thomas (2018) In Memoriam: Keith R. Briffa, 1952-2017. Tree-Ring Research.

Park, Chang-Eui, Jeong, Su-Jong, Joshi, Manoj, Osborn, Timothy, Ho, Chang-Hoi, Piao, Shilong, Chen, Deliang, Liu, Junguo, Yang, Hong, Park, Hoonyoung, Kim, Baek-Min and Feng, Song (2018) Keeping global warming within 1.5°C constrains emergence of aridification. Nature Climate Change, 8. 70–74. ISSN 1758-678X

Conway, Declan, Dalin, Carole, Landman, Willem A. and Osborn, Timothy J. (2017) Hydropower plans in eastern and southern Africa increase risk of concurrent climate-related electricity supply disruption. Nature Energy, 2. 946–953. ISSN 2058-7546

Osborn, Timothy J., Jones, Phil D. and Joshi, Manoj (2017) Recent United Kingdom and global temperature variations. Weather, 72 (11). 323–329. ISSN 0043-1656

Hawkins, Ed, Ortega, Pablo, Suckling, Emma, Schurer, Andrew, Hegerl, Gabi, Jones, Phil, Joshi, Manoj, Osborn, Timothy J., Masson-Delmotte, Valérie, Mignot, Juliette, Thorne, Peter and van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan (2017) Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (9). 1841–1856. ISSN 0003-0007

Osborn, Timothy, Barichivich, Jonathan, Harris, Ian, van der Schrier, Gerard and Jones, Philip (2017) Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate in 2016"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (8). S32-S33. ISSN 0003-0007

Wang, Jianglin, Yang, Bao, Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier, Luterbacher, Jürg, Osborn, Timothy J., Briffa, Keith R. and Zorita, Eduardo (2017) Internal and external forcing of multidecadal Atlantic climate variability over the past 1,200 years. Nature Geoscience, 10 (7). 512–517. ISSN 1752-0894

Anchukaitis, Kevin J., Wilson, Rob, Briffa, Keith R., Büntgen, Ulf, Cook, Edward R., D'Arrigo, Rosanne, Davi, Nicole, Esper, Jan, Frank, David, Gunnarson, Björn E., Hegerl, Gabi, Helama, Samuli, Klesse, Stefan, Krusic, Paul J., Linderholm, Hans W., Myglan, Vladimir, Osborn, Timothy J., Zhang, Peng, Rydval, Milos, Schneider, Lea, Schurer, Andrew, Wiles, Greg and Zorita, Eduardo (2017) Last millennium Northern Hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part II, spatially resolved reconstructions. Quaternary Science Reviews, 163. pp. 1-22. ISSN 0277-3791

Xu, Guangzhi, Osborn, Timothy and Matthews, Adrian (2017) Moisture transport by Atlantic tropical cyclones onto the North American continent. Climate Dynamics, 48 (9). 3161–3182. ISSN 0930-7575

Osborn, Timothy, Barichivich, Jonathan, Harris, Ian, Van Der Schrier, Gerard and Jones, Philip (2016) Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate in 2015"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97. S32-S36. ISSN 0003-0007

Xu, Guangzhi, Osborn, Timothy J., Matthews, Adrian J. and Joshi, Manoj M. (2016) Different atmospheric moisture divergence responses to extreme and moderate El Niños. Climate Dynamics, 47 (1). pp. 393-410. ISSN 0930-7575

Wilson, Rob, Anchukaitis, Kevin, Briffa, Keith R., Büntgen, Ulf, Cook, Edward, D'Arrigo, Rosanne, Davi, Nicole, Esper, Jan, Frank, Dave, Gunnarson, Björn, Hegerl, Gabi, Helama, Samuli, Klesse, Stefan, Krusic, Paul J., Linderholm, Hans W., Myglan, Vladimir, Osborn, Timothy J., Rydval, Miloš, Schneider, Lea, Schurer, Andrew, Wiles, Greg, Zhang, Peng and Zorita, Eduardo (2016) Last millennium northern hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part I: The long term context. Quaternary Science Reviews, 134. pp. 1-18. ISSN 0277-3791

Arnell, N. W., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Gottschalk, P., Hinkel, J., Huntingford, C., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Lowe, J. A., Nicholls, R. J., Osborn, T. J., Osborne, T. M., Rose, G. A., Smith, P., Wheeler, T. R. and Zelazowski, P. (2016) The impacts of climate change across the globe: a multi-sectoral assessment. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 457-474. ISSN 0165-0009

Arnell, N. W., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Hinkel, J., Huntingford, C., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Lowe, J. A., Osborn, T., Nicholls, R. J. and Zelazowski, P. (2016) Global-scale climate impact functions: the relationship between climate forcing and impact. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 475-487. ISSN 0165-0009

Osborn, Timothy J., Wallace, Craig J., Harris, Ian C. and Melvin, Thomas M. (2016) Pattern scaling using ClimGen: monthly-resolution future climate scenarios including changes in the variability of precipitation. Climatic Change, 134 (3). pp. 353-369. ISSN 0165-0009

Darch, Geoff, McSweeney, Robert T., Kilsby, Chris, Jones, Philip, Osborn, Timothy and Tomlinson, James E. (2016) Analysing changes in short-duration extreme rainfall events. In: Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Water Management. Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE). ISBN 1741-7589

Conway, Declan, Archer van Garderen, Emma, Deryng, Delphine, Dorling, Stephen, Krueger, Tobias, Landman, Willem, Lankford, Bruce, Lebek, Karen, Osborn, Timothy, Ringler, Claudia, Thurlow, James, Zhu, Tingju and Dalin, Carole (2015) Climate and southern Africa's water-energy-food nexus. Nature Climate Change, 5. pp. 837-846. ISSN 1758-678X

Hegerl, Gabriele C., Black, Emily, Allan, Richard P., Ingram, William J., Polson, Debbie, Trenberth, Kevin E., Chadwick, Robin S., Arkin, Phillip A., Sarojini, Beena Balan, Becker, Andreas, Dai, Aiguo, Durack, Paul J., Easterling, David, Fowler, Hayley J., Kendon, Elizabeth J., Huffman, George J., Liu, Chunlei, Marsh, Robert, New, Mark, Osborn, Timothy J., Skliris, Nikolaos, Stott, Peter A., Vidale, Pier-luigi, Wijffels, Susan E., Wilcox, Laura J., Willett, Kate M. and Zhang, Xuebin (2015) Challenges in quantifying changes in the global water cycle. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (7). 1097–1115. ISSN 0003-0007

van der Schrier, Gerard, Barichivich, Jonathan, Harris, Ian, Jones, Philip and Osborn, Timothy (2015) Monitoring global drought using the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index [in "State of the Climate in 2014"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (7). S30-S31. ISSN 0003-0007

Osborn, Timothy, Gosling, S. N., Wallace, Craig and Dorling, Stephen (2015) The water cycle in a changing climate. In: 7th World Water Forum, Words into Action. Faircount Media Group, London, pp. 14-19.

Jones, Philip, Osborn, Timothy, Harpham, Colin and Briffa, Keith R. (2014) The development of Lamb weather types: from subjective analysis of weather charts to objective approaches using reanalyses. Weather, 69 (5). pp. 128-132. ISSN 0043-1656

Yang, Bao, Qin, Chun, Wang, Jianglin, He, Minhui, Melvin, Thomas M., Osborn, Timothy J. and Briffa, Keith R. (2014) A 3,500-year tree-ring record of annual precipitation on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 111 (8). pp. 2903-2908. ISSN 0027-8424

Barichivich, Jonathan, Briffa, Keith, Myneni, Ranga, van der Schrier, Gerard, Dorigo, Wouter, Tucker, Compton, Osborn, Timothy and Melvin, Thomas (2014) Temperature and snow-mediated moisture controls of summer photosynthetic activity in northern terrestrial ecosystems between 1982 and 2011. Remote Sensing, 6 (2). pp. 1390-1431. ISSN 2072-4292

Osborn, T. J. and Jones, P. D. (2014) The CRUTEM4 land-surface air temperature data set: Construction, previous versions and dissemination via Google Earth. Earth System Science Data, 6 (1). pp. 61-68. ISSN 1866-3508

Harris, I., Jones, Philip, Osborn, Timothy and Lister, David (2014) Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations - the CRU TS3.10 Dataset. International Journal of Climatology, 34. pp. 623-642. ISSN 0899-8418

Pope, R. J., Savage, N. H., Chipperfield, M. P., Arnold, S. R. and Osborn, T. J. (2014) The influence of synoptic weather regimes on UK air quality: analysis of satellite column NO2. Atmospheric Science Letters, 15 (3). 211–217. ISSN 1530-261X

Pope, Richard, Willett, Kate M., Osborn, Timothy and Thorne, P (2014) Investigation and quality assessment of the Past Weather Code from the Integrated Surface Database. Hadley Centre Technical Note . Met Office.

Barichivich, Jonathan, Briffa, Keith R., Myneni, Ranga B., Osborn, Timothy J., Melvin, Thomas M., Ciais, Philippe, Piao, Shilong and Tucker, Compton (2013) Large-scale variations in the vegetation growing season and annual cycle of atmospheric CO2 at high northern latitudes from 1950 to 2011. Global Change Biology, 19 (10). pp. 3167-3183. ISSN 1354-1013

Warren, R., Lowe, J. A., Arnell, N. W., Hope, C., Berry, P., Brown, S., Gambhir, A., Gosling, S. N., Nicholls, R. J., O’Hanley, J., Osborn, Timothy, Price, J., Raper, S. C. B., Rose, G. and Vanderwal, J. (2013) The AVOID programme’s new simulations of the global benefits of stringent climate change mitigation. Climatic Change, 120 (1-2). pp. 55-70. ISSN 0165-0009

Briffa, Keith R., Melvin, Thomas M., Osborn, Timothy J., Hantemirov, Rashit M., Kirdyanov, Alexander V., Mazepa, Valeriy S., Shiyatov, Stepan G. and Esper, Jan (2013) Reassessing the evidence for tree-growth and inferred temperature change during the Common Era in Yamalia, northwest Siberia. Quaternary Science Reviews, 72. pp. 83-107. ISSN 0277-3791

Arnell, N. W., Lowe, J. A., Brown, S., Gosling, S. N., Gottschalk, P., Hinkel, J., Lloyd-Hughes, B., Nicholls, R. J., Osborn, T. J., Osborne, T. M., Rose, G. A., Smith, P. and Warren, R. F. (2013) A global assessment of the effects of climate policy on the impacts of climate change. Nature Climate Change, 3. 512–519. ISSN 1758-678X

Vial, Jessica, Osborn, Tim J. and Lott, François (2013) Sudden stratospheric warmings and tropospheric blockings in a multi-century simulation of the IPSL-CM5A coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 40 (9-10). pp. 2401-2414. ISSN 0930-7575

Van Oldenborgh, G.J., De Laat, A.T.J., Luterbacher, J., Ingram, W.J. and Osborn, T.J. (2013) Claim of solar influence is on thin ice:Are 11-year cycle solar minima associated with severe winters in Europe? Environmental Research Letters, 8 (2). ISSN 1748-9326

Polson, Debbie, Hegerl, Gabriele C., Zhang, Xuebin and Osborn, Timothy J. (2013) Causes of robust seasonal land precipitation changes. Journal of Climate, 26 (17). pp. 6698-6715. ISSN 0894-8755

Cornes, Richard C., Jones, Philip D., Briffa, Keith R. and Osborn, Timothy J. (2013) Estimates of the North Atlantic Oscillation back to 1692 using a Paris-London westerly index. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (1). pp. 228-248. ISSN 1097-0088

Masson-Delmotte, V, Schulz, M, Abe-Ouchi, A, Beer, J, Ganopolski, A, Gonzalez Rouco, J.F., Jansen, E, Lambeck, K, Luterbacher, J, Naish, T, Osborn, T, Otto-Bliesner, B, Quinn, T, Ramesh, R, Rojas, M, Shao, X and Timmermann, A (2013) Information from paleoclimate archives. In: Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Cambridge University Press, pp. 383-464. ISBN 978-1-107-66182-0

Warren, R., Vanderwal, J., Price, J., Welbergen, J. A., Atkinson, I., Ramirez-Villegas, J., Osborn, T. J., Jarvis, A., Shoo, L. P., Williams, S. E. and Lowe, J. (2013) Quantifying the benefit of early climate change mitigation in avoiding biodiversity loss. Nature Climate Change, 3 (7). pp. 678-682. ISSN 1758-678X

Gottschalk, P, Smith, JU, Wattenbach, M, Bellarby, J, Stehfest, E, Arnell, N, Osborn, TJ and Smith, P (2012) How will organic carbon stocks in mineral soils evolve under future climate? Global projections using RothC for a range of climate change scenarios. Biogeosciences, 9 (1). pp. 3151-3171. ISSN 1726-4189

Vial, Jessica and Osborn, Timothy J, (2012) Assessment of atmosphere-ocean general circulation model simulations of winter northern hemisphere atmospheric blocking. Climate Dynamics, 39. pp. 95-112. ISSN 0930-7575

Jones, P. D., Lister, D. H., Osborn, T. J., Harpham, C., Salmon, M. and Morice, C. P. (2012) Hemispheric and large-scale land surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2010. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117 (D5). ISSN 0148-0227

Barichivich, J., Briffa, K. R., Osborn, T. J., Melvin, T. M. and Caesar, J. (2012) Thermal growing season and timing of biospheric carbon uptake across the Northern Hemisphere. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 26 (4). ISSN 0886-6236

Cornes, Richard C., Jones, Phil D., Briffa, Keith R. and Osborn, Timothy J. (2012) A daily series of mean sea-level pressure for London, 1692-2007. International Journal of Climatology, 32. pp. 641-656. ISSN 1097-0088

Cornes, Richard C., Jones, Phil D., Briffa, Keith R. and Osborn, Timothy J. (2012) A daily series of mean sea-level pressure for Paris, 1670-2007. International Journal of Climatology, 32. pp. 1135-1150. ISSN 1097-0088

Maraun, Douglas, Osborn, Timothy J. and Rust, Henning W. (2012) The influence of synoptic airflow on UK daily precipitation extremes. Part II: regional climate model and E-OBS data validation. Climate Dynamics, 39 (1-2). pp. 287-301. ISSN 0930-7575

Warren, R, Yu, RMS, Osborn, TJ and de la Nava Santos, S (2012) European drought regimes under mitigated and unmitigated climate change: application of the Community Integrated Assessment System (CIAS). Climate Research, 51 (2). pp. 105-123. ISSN 0936-577X

Todd, M. C., Taylor, R. G., Osborn, T. J., Kingston, D. G., Arnell, N. W. and Gosling, S. N. (2011) Uncertainty in climate change impacts on basin-scale freshwater resources – preface to the special issue: the QUEST-GSI methodology and synthesis of results. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (3). pp. 1035-1046.

Shaon, Arif, Callaghan, Sarah, Lawrence, Bryan, Matthews, Brian, Woolf, Andrew, Osborn, Timothy and Harpham, Colin (2011) A linked data approach to publishing complex scientific workflows. In: Proceedings - 2011 7th IEEE International Conference on eScience, eScience 2011. UNSPECIFIED, pp. 303-310. ISBN 9780769545974

Maraun, Douglas, Osborn, Timothy J. and Rust, Henning W. (2011) The influence of synoptic airflow on UK daily precipitation extremes. Part 1: Observed spatio-temporal relationships. Climate Dynamics, 36 (1). pp. 261-275.

Osborn, TJ (2011) Variability and changes in the North Atlantic Oscillation index. In: Hydrological, socioeconomic and ecological impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation in the Mediterranean region. Springer, Heidelberg, pp. 9-22.

Osborn, Timothy J. (2011) Winter 2009/2010 temperatures and a record-breaking North Atlantic Oscillation index. Weather, 66 (1). pp. 19-21. ISSN 1477-8696

Palastanga, V, Van Der Schrier, G, Weber, SL, Kleinen, T, Briffa, KR and Osborn, TJ (2011) Atmosphere and ocean dynamics: Contributors to the European Little Ice Age? Climate Dynamics, 36 (5-6). pp. 973-987.

Maraun, Douglas, Rust, Henning W. and Osborn, Timothy J. (2010) Synoptic airflow and UK daily precipitation extremes: development and validation of a vector generalised model. Extremes, 13 (2). pp. 133-153. ISSN 1386-1999

Osborn, TJ (2010) Written memorandum by Dr Timothy J Osborn (CRU 28). In The disclosure of climate data from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia. Working Paper. House of Commons Science and Technology Committee, The Stationery Office, London, London.

Maraun, Douglas, Osborn, Timothy J. and Rust, Henning W. (2009) The influence of synoptic airflow on UK daily precipitation extremes, part 1: observed spatio-temporal relationships. Climate Dynamics, 36. pp. 261-275. ISSN 0930-7575

Maraun, D., Rust, H. W. and Osborn, T. J. (2009) The annual cycle of heavy precipitation across the United Kingdom: A model based on extreme value statistics. International Journal of Climatology, 29 (12). pp. 1731-1744. ISSN 1097-0088

Agnew, M, Goodess, C, Jones, P and Osborn, T (2009) The science of climate change - implications for risk management. In: Coping with Climate Change: Risk and Opportunities for Insurers. Chartered Insurance Institute, London.

Blenkinsop, S, Jones, PD, Dorling, SR and Osborn, TJ (2009) Observed and modelled influence of atmospheric circulation on central England temperature extremes. International Journal of Climatology, 29 (11). pp. 1642-1660. ISSN 1097-0088

Jones, P. D., Briffa, K. R., Osborn, T. J., Lough, J. M., Van Ommen, T. D., Vinther, B. M., Luterbacher, J., Wahl, E. R., Zwiers, F. W., Mann, M. E., Schmidt, G. A., Ammann, C. M., Buckley, B. M., Cobb, K. M., Esper, J., Goosse, H., Graham, N., Jansen, E., Kiefer, T., Kull, C., Kuttel, M, Mosley-Thompson, E, Overpeck, JT, Riedwyl, N, Schulz, M, Tudhope, AW, Villalba, R, Wanner, H, Wolff, E and Xoplaki, E (2009) High-resolution palaeoclimatology of the last millennium: A review of current status and future prospects. Holocene, 19 (1). pp. 3-49. ISSN 1477-0911

Kleinen, Thomas, Osborn, Timothy J. and Briffa, Keith R. (2009) Sensitivity of climate response to variations in freshwater hosing location. Ocean Dynamics, 59 (3). pp. 509-521.

Rust, H. W., Maraun, D. and Osborn, T. J. (2009) Modelling seasonality in extreme precipitation: a UK case study. European Physical Journal - Special Topics, 174 (1). pp. 99-111. ISSN 1951-6355

Warren, R, De La Nava Santos, S, Arnell, NW, Bane, M, Barker, T, Barton, C, Ford, R, Fussel, H-M, Hankin, RKS, Hinkel, J, Klein, R, Linstead, C, Kohler, J, Mitchell, TD, Osborn, TJ, Pan, H, Raper, SCB, Riley, G, Schellnhuber, HJ, Winne, S and Anderson, D (2008) Erratum to "Development and illustrative outputs of the Community Integrated Assessment System (CIAS), a multi-institutional modular integrated assessment approach for modelling climate change" Environ Model Softw 23(5) (2008) 592-610 (DOI:10.1016/j.envsoft.2007.09.002). Environmental Modelling and Software, 23 (9). pp. 1215-1216. ISSN 1873-6726

Warren, R, De La Nava Santos, S, Arnell, NW, Bane, M, Barker, T, Barton, C, Ford, R, Fussel, H-M, Hankin, RKS, Klein, R, Linstead, C, Kohler, J, Mitchell, TD, Osborn, TJ, Pan, H, Raper, SCB, Riley, G, Schellnhuber, HJ, Winne, S and Anderson, D (2008) Development and illustrative outputs of the Community Integrated Assessment System (CIAS), a multi-institutional modular integrated assessment approach for modelling climate change. Environmental Modelling and Software, 23 (5). pp. 592-610. ISSN 1873-6726

Maraun, D, Osborn, TJ and Gillett, NP (2008) United Kingdom daily precipitation intensity: Improved early data, error estimates and an update from 2000 to 2006. International Journal of Climatology, 28 (6). pp. 833-842. ISSN 1097-0088

O'Neill, Saffron J., Osborn, Tim J., Hulme, Mike, Lorenzoni, Irene and Watkinson, Andrew R. (2008) Using expert knowledge to assess uncertainties in future polar bear populations under climate change. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45 (6). pp. 1649-1659. ISSN 1365-2664

Juckes, M. N., Allen, M. R., Briffa, K. R., Esper, J., Hegerl, G. C., Moberg, A., Osborn, T. J. and Weber, S. L. (2007) Millennial temperature reconstruction intercomparison and evaluation. Climate of the Past, 3 (4). pp. 591-599. ISSN 1814-9332

Busby, SJ, Briffa, KR and Osborn, TJ (2007) Simulation of ENSO forcings on U.S. drought by the HadCM3 coupled climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres, 112 (18).

Tett, Simon F. B., Betts, Richard, Crowley, Thomas J., Gregory, Jonathan, Johns, Timothy C., Jones, Andy, Osborn, Timothy J., Öström, Elisabeth, Roberts, David L. and Woodage, Margaret J. (2007) The impact of natural and anthropogenic forcings on climate and hydrology since 1550. Climate Dynamics, 28 (1). pp. 3-34.

Jones, PD, Leadbetter, A, Osborn, TJ and Bloomfield, JP (2007) The impact of climate change on severe droughts: River-flow reconstructions and implied groundwater levels. Working Paper. Enviroment Agency Science Report, Bristol.

Osborn, Timothy J. and Briffa, Keith R. (2007) Response to the Comment on: "The spatial extent of the 20th century warmth in the context of the past 1200 years". Science, 316 (5833). p. 1844. ISSN 1095-9203

Wade, SD, Jones, PD and Osborn, TD (2007) The impact of climate change on severe droughts: Implications for decision making. Working Paper. Environment Agency Science Report.

van der Schrier, G., Osborn, T. J., Briffa, K. R. and Cook, E. R. (2007) Exploring an ensemble approach to estimating skill in multiproxy palaeoclimate reconstructions. The Holocene, 17. pp. 119-129. ISSN 1477-0911

Wilson, Rob, Tudhope, Alexander, Brohan, Philip, Briffa, Keith, Osborn, Timothy and Tett, Simon (2006) Two-hundred-fifty years of reconstructed and modeled tropical temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 111 (C10). ISSN 2169-9275

van der Schrier, G., Briffa, K. R., Jones, P. D. and Osborn, T. J. (2006) Summer moisture variability across Europe. Journal of Climate, 19 (12). pp. 2818-2834. ISSN 1520-0442

Juckes, M. N., Allen, M. R., Briffa, K. R., Esper, J., Hegerl, G. C., Moberg, A., Osborn, T. J., Weber, S. L. and Zorita, E. (2006) Millennial temperature reconstruction intercomparison and evaluation. pp. 1001-1049.

Osborn, Timothy J. (2006) Recent variations in the winter North Atlantic oscillation. Weather, 61 (12). pp. 353-355. ISSN 1477-8696

Osborn, Timothy J. and Briffa, Keith R. (2006) The spatial extent of 20th century warmth in the context of the last 1200 years. Science, 311 (5762). pp. 841-844. ISSN 1095-9203

Osborn, Timothy J., Raper, Sarah C. B and Briffa, Keith R. (2006) Simulated climate change during the last 1,000 years: Comparing the ECHO-G general circulation model with the MAGICC simple climate model. Climate Dynamics, 27 (2-3). pp. 185-197.

Osborn, Timothy J., Raper, Sarah C. B. and Briffa, Keith R. (2006) Simulated climate change during the last 1000 years: comparing the ECHO-G general circulation model with the MAGICC simple climate model. Climate Dynamics, 27. pp. 185-197. ISSN 0930-7575

van der Schrier, G., Briffa, K. R., Osborn, T. J. and Jones, P. D. (2006) Summer moisture availability across North America. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111 (D11102). ISSN 2156-2202

Tsimplis, M. N., Woolf, D. K., Osborn, T. J., Wakelin, S., Wolf, J., Flather, R., Shaw, A. G. P., Woodworth, P., Challenor, P., Blackman, D., Pert, F., Yan, Z. and Jevrejeva, S. (2005) Towards a vulnerability assessment of the UK and northern European coasts: The role of regional climate variability. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 363 (1831). pp. 1329-1358. ISSN 1364-503X

Rutherford, S., Mann, M. E., Osborn, T. J., Briffa, K. R., Jones, P. D., Bradley, R. S. and Hughes, M. K. (2005) Proxy-based Northern Hemisphere surface temperature reconstructions: Sensitivity to method, predictor network, target season and target domain. Journal of Climate, 18 (13). pp. 2308-2329. ISSN 1520-0442

Osborn, TJ and Briffa, KR (2004) The real colour of climate change? Science, 306 (5696). pp. 621-622. ISSN 1095-9203

Osborn, T. J. (2004) Simulating the winter North Atlantic Oscillation: The roles of internal variability and greenhouse gas forcing. Climate Dynamics, 22 (6-7). pp. 605-623. ISSN 0930-7575

Osborn, Timothy, Briffa, Keith, Schweingruber, FH and Jones, Philip (2004) Annually resolved patterns of summer temperature over the Northern Hemisphere since AD 1400 from a tree-ring-density network. Climatic Research Unit Research Publication, CRU RP10 . Climatic Research Unit, Norwich.

Trigo, R. M., Trigo, I. F., DaCamara, C. C. and Osborn, T. J. (2004) Climate impact of the European winter blocking episodes from the NCEP/NCAR reanalyses. Climate Dynamics, 23 (1). pp. 17-28. ISSN 0930-7575

Trigo, RM, Corte-Real, J and Osborn, TJ (2004) Influencia de la Oscilación del Atlántico Norte en el clima del continente Europeo y su impacto en el caudal de los ríos Ibéricos. In: La Oscilación del Atlántico Norte y su Influencia Sobre la Península Ibérica y Canarias. Parque Tecnologico de Galicia, Ourense, Spain, pp. 135-138.

Trigo, Ricardo M., Pozo-Vázquez, David, Osborn, Timothy J., Castro-Díez, Yolanda, Gámiz-Fortis, Sonia and Esteban-Parra, Maria Jesus (2004) North Atlantic oscillation influence on precipitation, river flow and water resources in the Iberian Peninsula. International Journal of Climatology, 24 (8). pp. 925-944. ISSN 0899-8418

Thorne, P. W., Jones, P. D., Tett, S. F. B., Allen, M. R., Parker, D. E., Stott, P. A., Jones, G. S., Osborn, T. J. and Davies, T. D. (2003) Probable causes of late twentieth century tropospheric temperature trends. Climate Dynamics, 21 (7-8). pp. 573-591. ISSN 0930-7575

Jones, P. D., Briffa, K. R. and Osborn, T. J. (2003) Changes in the Northern Hemisphere annual cycle: implications for paleoclimatology? Journal of Geophysical Research, 108 (D18). ISSN 0148-0227

Osborn, Timothy and Jones, Philip (2003) Letters to the Editor: Circulation anomalies and UK climate. Weather, 58 (3). pp. 129-130. ISSN 0043-1656

Bigg, G. R., Jickells, T. D., Liss, P. S. and Osborn, T. J. (2003) The role of the oceans in climate. International Journal of Climatology, 23 (10). pp. 1127-1159. ISSN 0899-8418

Bradley, R. S., Briffa, K. R., Cole, J., Hughes, M. K. and Osborn, T. J. (2003) The Climate of the Last Millennium. In: Paleoclimate, Global Change and the Future. Springer, Berlin, pp. 105-141. ISBN 978-3-642-62692-0

Briffa, K. R., Osborn, T. J. and Schweingruber, F. H. (2003) Large-scale temperature inferences from tree rings: A review. Global and Planetary Change, 40 (1-2). pp. 11-26.

Gillett, Nathan P., Graf, Hans F. and Osborn, Tim J. (2003) Climate Change and the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: The North Atlantic Oscillation. AGU, Washington, pp. 193-209. ISBN 9780875909943

Goodess, CG, Hanson, C, Hulme, M and Osborn, TJ (2003) Representing climate and extreme weather events in integrated assessment models: A review of existing methods and options for development. Integrated Assessment, 4 (3). pp. 145-171. ISSN 1573-1545

Jones, PD, Moberg, A, Osborn, TJ and Briffa, KR (2003) Surface climate responses to explosive volcanic eruptions seen in long European temperature records and mid-to-high latitude tree-ring density around the Northern Hemisphere. In: Volcanism and the Earth's Atmosphere. American Geophysical Union, Washington, pp. 239-254.

Jones, PD, Osborn, TD and Briffa, KR (2003) Changes in the Northern Hemisphere annual cycle: Implications for palaeoclimatology? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 108 (18). pp. 4588-4593. ISSN 2169-8996

Jones, PD, Osborn, TJ and Briffa, KR (2003) Pressure-based measurements of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO): A comparison and an assessment of changes in the strength of the NAO and in its influence on surface climate parameters. In: North Atlantic Oscillation: Climate Significance and Environmental Impact. American Geophysical Union, Washington, pp. 51-62.

Mann, M, Ammann, C, Bradley, R, Briffa, K, Jones, P, Osborn, T, Crowley, T, Hughes, M, Oppenheimer, M, Overpeck, J, Rutherford, S, Trenberth, K and Wigley, T (2003) Response to Soon et al.'s comment on “On past temperatures and anomalous late-20th century warmth. Eos, 84. pp. 473-474.

Mann, Michael, Ammann, Caspar, Bradley, Ray, Briffa, Keith, Jones, Philip, Osborn, Tim, Crowley, Tom, Hughes, Malcolm, Oppenheimer, Michael, Overpeck, Jonathan, Rutherford, Scott, Trenberth, Kevin and Wigley, Tom (2003) On past temperatures and anomalous late-20th century warmth. Eos, 84 (27). pp. 256-257.

Mann, Michael, Ammann, Caspar, Bradley, Raymond, Briffa, Keith, Jones, Philip, Osborn, Timothy, Crowley, Thomas, Hughes, Malcolm, Oppenheimer, Michael, Overpeck, Jonathan, Rutherford, Scott, Trenberth, Kevin and Wigley, Tom (2003) Response to Soon et al's comment on 'On past temperatures and anomalous late-20th century warmth'. Eos, 84 (44). pp. 473-476. ISSN 2324-9250

Renssen, H. and Osborn, Timothy (2003) Holocene climate variability investigated using data-model comparisons. CLIVAR Exchanges, 26. pp. 1-3.

Renssen, H. and Osborn, Timothy (2003) Investigating Holocene climate variability: data-model comparisons. PAGES News, 11 (2/3). pp. 32-33.

Osborn, Timothy J. and Briffa, Keith R. (2002) Comments on the paper of Harris, R.N. and Chapman, D.S. Mid-latitude (30N 60N) climatic warming inferred by combining borehole temperatures with surface air temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 29 (16). 45-1-45-2. ISSN 1944-8007

Briffa, Keith R. and Osborn, Timothy J. (2002) Blowing hot and cold. Science, 295 (5563). pp. 2227-2228. ISSN 1095-9203

Briffa, Keith R., Osborn, Timothy J., Schweingruber, Fritz H., Jones, Philip D., Shiyatov, Stepan G. and Vaganov, Eugene A. (2002) Tree-ring width and density data around the Northern Hemisphere: Part 1, local and regional climate signals. The Holocene, 12 (6). pp. 737-757. ISSN 1477-0911

Briffa, Keith R., Osborn, Timothy J., Schweingruber, Fritz H., Jones, Philip D., Shiyatov, Stepan G. and Vaganov, Eugene A. (2002) Tree-ring width and density data around the Northern Hemisphere: Part 2, spatio-temporal variability and associated climate patterns. The Holocene, 12 (6). pp. 759-789. ISSN 1477-0911

Collins, Matthew, Osborn, Timothy J., Tett, Simon F. B., Briffa, Keith R. and Schweingruber, Fritz H. (2002) A comparison of the variability of a climate model with palaeo-temperature estimates from a network of tree-ring densities. Journal of Climate, 15 (13). pp. 1497-1515. ISSN 1520-0442

Jones, Philip D., Briffa, Keith R., Osborn, Timothy J., Moberg, Anders and Bergström, Hans (2002) Relationships between circulation strength and the variability of growing-season and cold-season climate in northern and central Europe. The Holocene, 12 (6). pp. 643-656. ISSN 1477-0911

Osborn, Timothy (2002) The winter North Atlantic Oscillation: roles of internal variability and greenhouse gas forcing. CLIVAR Exchanges, 25. pp. 54-58.

Osborn, Timothy J. and Briffa, Keith R. (2002) Comments on the paper of R. N. Harris and D. S. Chapman 'Mid-latitude (30 degrees N - 60 degrees N) climatic warming inferred by combining borehole temperatures with surface air temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 29 (16). 45-1-45-2. ISSN 0094-8276

Osborn, Timothy J. and Hulme, Mike (2002) Evidence for trends in heavy rainfall events over the UK. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 360 (1796). pp. 1313-1325. ISSN 1471-2962

Thorne, Peter W., Jones, Phil D., Osborn, Tim J., Davies, Trevor D., Tett, Simon F. B., Parker, David E., Stott, Peter A., Jones, Gareth S. and Allen, Myles R. (2002) Assessing the robustness of zonal mean climate change detection. Geophysical Research Letters, 29 (19). ISSN 0094-8276

Trigo, Ricardo, Osborn, Timothy and Corte-Real, João (2002) Influencia da Oscilacao do Atlantico Norte no clima do continente Europeu e no caudal dos rios Ibericos Atlanticos. Finisterra, 37 (73). pp. 5-31. ISSN 2182-2905

Trigo, Ricardo M., Osborn, Timothy J. and Corte-Real, João M. (2002) The North Atlantic Oscillation influence on Europe: Climate impacts and associated physical mechanisms. Climate Research, 20 (1). pp. 9-17. ISSN 0936-577X

Turnpenny, John R., Crossley, Jennifer F., Hulme, Mike and Osborn, Timothy J. (2002) Air flow influences on local climate: Comparison of simulations from a regional climate model with observations over the United Kingdom. Climate Research, 20. pp. 189-202. ISSN 0936-577X

Wallace, Craig J. and Osborn, Timothy J. (2002) Recent and future modulation of the annual cycle. Climate Research, 22. pp. 1-11. ISSN 0936-577X

Briffa, Keith R., Osborn, Timothy J., Schweingruber, Fritz H., Harris, Ian C., Jones, Philip D., Shiyatov, Stepan G. and Vaganov, Eugene A. (2001) Low-frequency temperature variations from a northern tree-ring density network. Journal of Geophysical Research, 106 (D3). pp. 2929-2941. ISSN 2156-2202

Goodess, CM, Hulme, M and Osborn, T (2001) The identification and evaluation of suitable scenario development methods for the estimation of future probabilities of extreme weather events. Working Paper. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research.

Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J. and Briffa, K. R. (2001) The evolution of climate over the last millennium. Science, 292 (5517). pp. 662-667. ISSN 1095-9203

Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J., Briffa, K. R., Folland, C. K., Horton, E. B., Alexander, L. V., Parker, D. E. and Rayner, N. A. (2001) Adjusting for sampling density in grid-box land and ocean surface temperature time series. Journal of Geophysical Research, 106 (D4). pp. 3371-3380. ISSN 2156-2202

Raper, S. C. B., Gregory, J. M. and Osborn, T. J. (2001) Use of an upwelling-diffusion energy balance climate model to simulate and diagnose A/OGCM results. Climate Dynamics, 17 (8). pp. 601-613. ISSN 0930-7575

Thorne, PW, Jones, PD, Tett, SFB, Parker, DE, Osborn, TJ and Davies, TD (2001) Ascribing potential causes of recent trends in free atmosphere temperatures. Atmospheric Science Letters, 2 (1-4). pp. 132-142.

Dickson, R. R., Osborn, T. J., Hurrell, J. W., Meincke, J., Blindheim, J., Adlandsvik, B., Vinje, T., Alexseev, G. and Maslowski, W. (2000) The Arctic Ocean response to the North Atlantic oscillation. Journal of Climate, 13 (15). pp. 2671-2696. ISSN 1520-0442

Osborn, TJ and Briffa, KR (2000) Revisiting timescale-dependent reconstruction of climate from tree-ring chronologies. Dendrochronologia, 18. pp. 9-26. ISSN 1612-0051

Osborn, Timothy J., Hulme, Mike, Jones, Philip D. and Basnett, Tracy A. (2000) Observed trends in the daily intensity of United Kingdom precipitation. International Journal of Climatology, 20 (4). pp. 347-364. ISSN 1097-0088

Osborn, Timothy J. and Jones, Philip D. (2000) Air flow influences on local climate: Observed United Kingdom climate variations. Atmospheric Science Letters, 1 (1). pp. 62-74.

Viner, David, Osborn, Tim, Jones, Philip, Briffa, Keith, Hulme, Michael and Raper, Sarah (2000) Global warming: the world heats up. Weather, 55 (4). pp. 144-145. ISSN 0043-1656

Osborn, T. J., Briffa, K. R., Tett, S. F. B., Jones, P. D. and Trigo, R. M. (1999) Evaluation of the North Atlantic Oscillation as simulated by a coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 15 (9). pp. 685-702. ISSN 0930-7575

Briffa, Keith R. and Osborn, Timothy J. (1999) Seeing the wood from the trees. Science, 284 (5416). pp. 926-927. ISSN 0036-8075

Osborn, TJ, Conway, D, Hulme, M, Gregory, JM and Jones, PD (1999) Air flow influences on local climate: Observed and simulated mean relationships for the UK. Climate Research, 13. pp. 171-191. ISSN 0936-577X

Osborn, Timothy, Conway, Declan, Hulme, Michael, Gregory, J. M. and Jones, Philip (1999) Air flow influences on local climate: observed and simulated mean relationships for the United Kingdom. Climate Research, 13 (3). pp. 173-191. ISSN 0936-577X

Osborn, Timothy J. and Hulme, Mike (1998) Evaluation of the European daily precipitation characteristics from the atmospheric model intercomparison project. International Journal of Climatology, 18 (5). pp. 505-522. ISSN 1097-0088

Briffa, K. R., Schweingruber, F. H., Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J., Shiyatov, S. G. and Vaganov, E. A. (1998) Reduced sensitivity of recent tree growth to temperature at high northern latitudes. Nature, 391 (6668). pp. 678-682.

Briffa, KR, Schweingruber, FH, Jones, PD, Osborn, TJ, Harris, Ian, Shiyatov, SG, Vaganov, EA and Grudd, H (1998) Trees tell of past climates: But are they speaking less clearly today? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 353 (1365). pp. 65-73. ISSN 0962-8436

Briffa, Keith R., Jones, Philip D., Schweingruber, Fritz H. and Osborn, Timothy J. (1998) Influence of volcanic eruptions on Northern Hemisphere summer temperature over the past 600 years. Nature, 393 (6684). pp. 450-455.

Choi, B.-C, Davies, T. D., Osborn, T. J. and Lee, S. H. (1998) On the relationship between Eurasian snow cover and summer rainfall in South Korea, part I: statistical analysis. Journal of the Korean Meteorological Society, 34 (3). pp. 478-485.

Hulme, M., Osborn, T. J. and Johns, T. C. (1998) Precipitation sensitivity to global warming: Comparison of observations with HadCM2 simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 25. pp. 3379-3382. ISSN 1944-8007

Hulme, Mike, Osborn, Timothy J. and Johns, Timothy C. (1998) Precipitation sensitivity to global warming: comparisons of observations with HadCM2 simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 25 (17). pp. 3379-3382. ISSN 0094-8276

Osborn, Timothy and Hulme, Michael (1998) Evaluation of the daily precipitation characteristics of AMIP atmospheric model simulations over Europe. International Journal of Climatology, 18. pp. 505-522. ISSN 0899-8418

Osborn, Timothy J. (1998) The vertical component of epineutral diffusion and the dianeutral component of horizontal diffusion. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 28 (3). pp. 485-494. ISSN 0022-3670

Osborn, Timothy (1997) Areal and point precipitation intensity changes: Implications for the application of climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 24 (22). pp. 2829-2832. ISSN 0094-8276

Osborn, Timothy (1997) Thermohaline Oscillations in the LSG OGCM: Propagating Anomalies and Sensitivity to Parameterizations. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 27 (10). pp. 2233-2255. ISSN 0022-3670

Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J. and Briffa, K. R. (1997) Estimating sampling errors in large-scale temperature averages. Journal of Climate, 10 (10). pp. 2548-2568. ISSN 0894-8755

Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J., Wigley, T. M. L., Kelly, P. M. and Santer, B. D. (1997) Comparisons between the microwave sounding unit temperature record and the surface temperature record from 1979 to 1996: Real differences or potential discontinuities? Journal of Geophysical Research, 102 (D25). pp. 30135-30145. ISSN 0148-0227

Jones, Philip, Osborn, Timothy, Wigley, Tom, Kelly, Mick and Santer, B.D. (1997) Potential discontinuities in the MSU2R temperature record revealed by comparisons with the surface record over 1979 to 1996. Journal of Geophysical Research, 102. pp. 30135-30145. ISSN 0148-0227

Osborn, T. J., Biffa, K. R. and Jones, P. D. (1997) Adjusting variance for sample-size in tree-ring chronologies and other regional mean timeseries. Dendrochronologia, 15. pp. 89-99. ISSN 1612-0051

Osborn, TJ and Hulme, M (1997) Development of a relationship between station and gridbox rainday frequencies for climate model validation. Journal of Climate, 10. pp. 1885-1908. ISSN 1520-0442

Osborn, Timothy (1996) Are model simulations of oceanic variability relevant to the real world? Climate Monitor, 24. pp. 23-28.

Osborn, Timothy J. (1996) Comment on 'Climate drift in a global ocean general circulation model'. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 26 (8). pp. 1661-1663. ISSN 0022-3670

Dickson, R. R., Briffa, Keith and Osborn, Timothy (1994) Cod and climate: the spatial and temporal context. ICES Marine Science Symposia, 198. pp. 280-286.

Osborn, T. J. and Wigley, T. M. L. (1994) A simple model for estimating methane concentration and lifetime variations. Climate Dynamics, 9 (4-5). pp. 181-193. ISSN 0930-7575