Areal and point precipitation intensity changes: Implications for the application of climate models

Osborn, Timothy ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-6799 (1997) Areal and point precipitation intensity changes: Implications for the application of climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 24 (22). pp. 2829-2832. ISSN 0094-8276

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Abstract

It is demonstrated that the long‐term‐mean intensity of an area‐mean precipitation timeseries and the long‐term‐mean intensities at the points within the area of interest can change by different relative amounts if the spatial scale of precipitation events changes. This effect is problematic when trying to derive fine‐scale climate change scenarios from the statistics of area‐mean grid‐box precipitation simulated by climate models. Examples of this effect are given using model predictions of changing intensity and changing precipitation type (synoptic or convective).

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA
UEA Research Groups: Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Centres > Water Security Research Centre
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Climatic Research Unit
Depositing User: LivePure Connector
Date Deposited: 15 Jan 2021 01:00
Last Modified: 14 Jun 2023 20:31
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/78191
DOI: 10.1029/97GL02976

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