Air flow influences on local climate: Observed United Kingdom climate variations

Osborn, Timothy J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-6799 and Jones, Philip D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493 (2000) Air flow influences on local climate: Observed United Kingdom climate variations. Atmospheric Science Letters, 1 (1). pp. 62-74.

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Abstract

Identifying and removing the influence of atmospheric circulation variability on central England temperature increases the statistical significance of warming trends in spring, autumn and the annual mean over the last 50 years. The trends are more detectable because the circulation changes contribute greatly to the ‘noise’ of interannual to interdecadal variability, but induce only small multi-decadal trends (the ‘signal’). Factoring out the circulation can thus enhance the signal-to-noise ratio. For precipitation, the recent enhancement in the difference between summer rainfall in south-east England and winter precipitation in northern Scotland can partly be explained by atmospheric circulation variability over the past 40 years (particularly the increase in the North Atlantic Oscillation index from the 1960s to the early 1990s).

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action
Faculty \ School:	Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
Depositing User:	Rosie Cullington
Date Deposited:	20 Jul 2011 11:13
Last Modified:	20 Mar 2023 12:34
URI:	https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/33998
DOI:	10.1006/asle.2000.0013

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