Volatility-volume co-movements: evidence from China metal markets

Zhang, Ren and Polanski, Arnold ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9146-6364 (2016) Volatility-volume co-movements: evidence from China metal markets. Applied Economics, 48 (45). pp. 4312-4336. ISSN 0003-6846

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Abstract

This paper investigates the interactional relationship between price volatility and futures trading activity for three heavily traded metal products on the Shanghai Metal Exchange and the Shanghai Futures Exchange. Using models based on vector autoregression and generalized method of moments we show, in particular, that futures trading activity has a strong impact on both spot and futures price volatility in copper and aluminium markets. Futures trading activity leads spot market volatility in copper and aluminium markets which suggests that futures markets have a destabilizing effect. In order to disentangle the effect of different traders’ types on asset price movements, we decompose futures trading into speculators’ and hedgers’ trading and investigate their contributions to volatility. As a robustness check, we investigate the impact of endogenous structural breaks on the interactional relationship between price volatility and futures trading.

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	futures and spot markets,price volume volatility,contemporaneous interdependence,structural change
Faculty \ School:	Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Economics
UEA Research Groups:	Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Groups > Economic Theory Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Groups > Applied Econometrics And Finance
Depositing User:	Pure Connector
Date Deposited:	22 Mar 2016 09:28
Last Modified:	29 Jan 2023 06:30
URI:	https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/57782
DOI:	10.1080/00036846.2016.1156235

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