Interaction of consumer preferences and climate policies in the global transition to low-carbon vehicles

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McCollum, David L., Wilson, Charlie ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8164-3566, Bevione, Michela, Carrara, Samuel, Edelenbosch, Oreane Y., Emmerling, Johannes, Guivarch, Cécile, Karkatsoulis, Panagiotis, Keppo, Ilkka, Krey, Volker, Lin, Zhenhong, Broin, Eoin Ó, Paroussos, Leonidas, Pettifor, Hazel, Ramea, Kalai, Riahi, Keywan, Sano, Fuminori, Solano Rodriguez, Baltazar and van Vuuren, Detlef P. (2018) Interaction of consumer preferences and climate policies in the global transition to low-carbon vehicles. Nature Energy, 3. 664–673. ISSN 2058-7546

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Abstract

Burgeoning demands for mobility and private vehicle ownership undermine global efforts to reduce energy-related greenhouse gas emissions. Advanced vehicles powered by low-carbon sources of electricity or hydrogen offer an alternative to conventional fossil-fuelled technologies. Yet, despite ambitious pledges and investments by governments and automakers, it is by no means clear that these vehicles will ultimately reach mass-market consumers. Here, we develop state-of-the-art representations of consumer preferences in multiple, global energy- economy models, specifically focusing on the non-financial preferences of individuals. We employ these enhanced model formulations to analyse the potential for a low-carbon vehicle revolution up to mid-century. Our analysis shows that a diverse set of measures targeting vehicle buyers is necessary for driving widespread adoption of clean technologies. Carbon pricing alone is insufficient for bringing low-carbon vehicles to mass market, though it can certainly play a supporting role in ensuring a decarbonised energy supply.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action
UEA Research Groups: University of East Anglia Schools > Faculty of Science > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Environmental Social Sciences
Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 05 Jun 2018 10:30
Last Modified: 24 Aug 2023 04:30
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/67285
DOI: 10.1038/s41560-018-0195-z

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