Transmission of climate risks across sectors and borders

Challinor, Andy J., Adger, W. Neil, Benton, Tim G., Conway, Declan, Joshi, Manoj ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811 and Frame, Dave (2018) Transmission of climate risks across sectors and borders. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 376 (2121). ISSN 1471-2962

Preview

PDF (Accepted manuscript) - Accepted Version Download (672kB) | Preview

Abstract

Systemic climate risks, which result from the potential for cascading impacts through inter-related systems, pose particular challenges to risk assessment, especially when risks are transmitted across sectors and international boundaries. Most impacts of climate variability and change affect regions and jurisdictions in complex ways, and techniques for assessing this transmission of risk are still somewhat limited. Here, we begin to define new approaches to risk assessment that can account for transboundary and trans-sector risk transmission, by presenting: (i) a typology of risk transmission that distinguishes clearly the role of climate versus the role of the social and economic systems that distribute resources; (ii) a review of existing modelling, qualitative and systems-based methods of assessing risk and risk transmission; and (iii) case studies that examine risk transmission in human displacement, food, water and energy security. The case studies show that policies and institutions can attenuate risks significantly through cooperation that can be mutually beneficial to all parties. We conclude with some suggestions for assessment of complex risk transmission mechanisms: use of expert judgement; interactive scenario building; global systems science and big data; innovative use of climate and integrated assessment models; and methods to understand societal responses to climate risk. These approaches aim to inform both research and national-level risk assessment.

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	sdg 7 - affordable and clean energy,sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/affordable_and_clean_energy
Faculty \ School:	Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Global Development (formerly School of International Development) University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA
UEA Research Groups:	Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Climatic Research Unit Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences University of East Anglia Schools > Faculty of Science > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Related URLs:	http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/128907/
Depositing User:	Pure Connector
Date Deposited:	05 Apr 2018 11:30
Last Modified:	14 Jun 2023 13:20
URI:	https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/66681
DOI:	10.1098/rsta.2017.0301

Downloads

Actions (login required)

View Item