Going beyond two degrees? The risks and opportunities of alternative options

Jordan, Andrew, Rayner, Tim, Schroeder, Heike, Adger, Neil, Anderson, Kevin, Bows, Alice, Le Quéré, Corinne, Joshi, Manoj, Mander, Sarah, Vaughan, Naomi and Whitmarsh, Lorraine (2013) Going beyond two degrees? The risks and opportunities of alternative options. Climate Policy, 13 (6). pp. 751-769. ISSN 1469-3062

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Abstract

Since the mid-1990s, the aim of keeping climate change within 2 °C has become firmly entrenched in policy discourses. In the past few years, the likelihood of achieving it has been increasingly called into question. The debate around what to do with a target that seems less and less achievable is, however, only just beginning. As the UN commences a two-year review of the 2 °C target, this article moves beyond the somewhat binary debates about whether or not it should or will be met, in order to analyse more fully some of the alternative options that have been identified but not fully explored in the existing literature. For the first time, uncertainties, risks, and opportunities associated with four such options are identified and synthesized from the literature. The analysis finds that the significant risks and uncertainties associated with some options may encourage decision makers to recommit to the 2 °C target as the least unattractive course of action.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Gold Open Access
Uncontrolled Keywords: adaptation policy,climate policy,global warming,governance,mitigation policy,post-2012 negotiations,risk governance,two degrees,unfcc
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
Faculty of Social Sciences > School of International Development
Faculty of Science > Tyndall Centre for Climatic Change
Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 09 Dec 2013 13:22
Last Modified: 31 Oct 2019 14:19
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/45694
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2013.835705

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