A co-evolutionary approach to climate change impact assessment: Part I - integrating socio-economic and climate change scenarios

Lorenzoni, Irene, Jordan, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7678-1024, Hulme, Mike, Turner, R. Kerry and O'Riordan, Tim (2000) A co-evolutionary approach to climate change impact assessment: Part I - integrating socio-economic and climate change scenarios. Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions, 10 (1). pp. 57-68.

Full text not available from this repository. (Request a copy)

Abstract

Climate change policies currently pay disproportionately greater attention to the mitigation of climate change through emission reductions strategies than to adaptation measures. Realising that the world is already committed to some global warming, policy makers are beginning to turn their attention to the challenge of preparing society to adapt to the unfolding impacts at the local level. This two-part article presents an integrated, or `co-evolutionary', approach to using scenarios in adaptation and vulnerability assessment. Part I explains how climate and social scenarios can be integrated to better understand the inter-relationships between a changing climate and the dynamic evolution of social, economic and political systems. The integrated scenarios are then calibrated so that they can be applied `bottom up’ to local stakeholders in vulnerable sectors of the economy. Part I concludes that a co-evolutionary approach (1) produces a more sophisticated and dynamic account of the potential feedbacks between natural and human systems; (2) suggests that sustainability indicators are both a potentially valuable input to and an output of integrated scenario formulation and application. Part II describes how a broadly representative sample of public, private and voluntary organisations in the East Anglian region of the UK responded to the scenarios, and identifies future research priorities.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA
UEA Research Groups: Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Marine Knowledge Exchange Network
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Collaborative Centre for Sustainable Use of the Seas
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Science, Society and Sustainability
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Environmental Social Sciences
University of East Anglia Schools > Faculty of Science > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment (CSERGE)
Depositing User: Rosie Cullington
Date Deposited: 14 Mar 2011 11:09
Last Modified: 21 Jul 2024 00:24
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/26096
DOI: 10.1016/S0959-3780(00)00012-1

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item