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ToolsDamseaux, Adrien, Matthes, Heidrun, Dutch, Victoria R., Rutter, Nick and Wake, Leanne (2025) Impact of snow thermal conductivity schemes on pan-Arctic permafrost dynamics in the Community Land Model version 5.0. The Cryosphere, 19 (4). 1539–1558. ISSN 1994-0440
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Abstract
The precise magnitude and timing of permafrost-thaw-related emissions and their subsequent impact on the global climate system remain highly uncertain. This uncertainty stems from the complex quantification of the rate and extent of permafrost thaw, which is influenced by factors such as snow cover and other surface properties. Acting as a thermal insulator, snow cover directly influences surface energy fluxes and can significantly impact the permafrost thermal regime. However, current Earth system models often inadequately represent the nuanced effects of snow cover in permafrost regions, leading to inaccuracies in simulating soil temperatures and permafrost dynamics. Notably, the Community Land Model (CLM5.0) tends to overestimate snowpack thermal conductivity over permafrost regions, resulting in an underestimation of the snow insulating capacity. Using a snow thermal conductivity scheme better adapted for the snowpack typically found in permafrost regions, we seek to resolve thermal insulation underestimation and assess the influence of snow on simulated soil temperatures and permafrost dynamics. Evaluation using two Arctic-wide soil temperature observation datasets reveals that the new snow thermal conductivity scheme reduces the cold-soil temperature bias (root-mean-square error, RMSE = 3.17 to 2.4 °C, using remote sensing data; RMSE = 3.9 to 2.19 °C, using in situ data), demonstrates robustness through sensitivity analysis under lower tundra snow densities, and addresses the overestimation of permafrost extent in the default CLM5.0. This improvement highlights the importance of incorporating realistic snow processes in land surface models for enhanced predictions of permafrost dynamics and their response to climate change.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | Adrien Damseaux would like to thank Evie Morin for contributing to the editing and proofreading of an earlier version of the paper. This paper was edited by Philipp de Vrese and reviewed by two anonymous referees. |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | sdg 13 - climate action,sdg 15 - life on land ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action |
| Faculty \ School: | Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences |
| UEA Research Groups: | Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences |
| Related URLs: | |
| Depositing User: | LivePure Connector |
| Date Deposited: | 09 Jun 2025 15:30 |
| Last Modified: | 15 Jun 2025 06:30 |
| URI: | https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/99408 |
| DOI: | 10.5194/tc-19-1539-2025 |
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