Can the shadow economy undermine the effect of political stability on inflation? Empirical evidence

Mazhar, Ummad and Jafri, Juvaria ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4457-5098 (2017) Can the shadow economy undermine the effect of political stability on inflation? Empirical evidence. Journal of Applied Economics, 20 (2). pp. 395-420. ISSN 1514-0326

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Abstract

This paper revisits the empirical relationship between political stability and inflation while explicitly accounting for the presence of the shadow economy. Using a large data set of 122 countries over the 1999 to 2007 period, we find that the well established negative correlation between political stability and inflation holds only if the size of the shadow economy remains modest; and it ceases to exist at higher levels of the size of the informal sector. This finding contributes to the existing literature on public finance that assigns special importance to political determinants of inflation. The results are robust against alternative specifications and satisfy the usual assumptions of a valid statistical inference.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	Publisher Copyright: © 2017 Universidad del CEMA
Uncontrolled Keywords:	inflation,informal sector or shadow economy,openness,political stability,tax revenue,economics, econometrics and finance(all) ,/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2000
Faculty \ School:	Faculty of Arts and Humanities > School of Politics, Philosophy, Language and Communication Studies (former - to 2024)
UEA Research Groups:	Faculty of Arts and Humanities > Research Groups > Political, Social and International Studies
Related URLs:	http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?...
Depositing User:	LivePure Connector
Date Deposited:	06 Jan 2023 14:33
Last Modified:	25 Sep 2024 17:04
URI:	https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/90457
DOI:	10.1016/S1514-0326(17)30018-1

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