Current Siberian heating is unprecedented during the past seven millennia

Hantemirov, Rashit M., Corona, Christophe, Guillet, Sebastien, Shiyatov, Stepan G., Stoffel, Markus, Osborn, Timothy J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-6799, Melvin, Thomas M., Gorlanova, Ludmila A., Kukarskih, Vladimir V., Surkov, Alexander Y., von Arx, Georg and Fonti, Patrick (2022) Current Siberian heating is unprecedented during the past seven millennia. Nature Communications, 13. ISSN 2041-1723

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Abstract

The Arctic is warming faster than any other region on Earth. Putting this rapid warming into perspective is challenging because instrumental records are often short or incomplete in polar regions and precisely-dated temperature proxies with high temporal resolution are largely lacking. Here, we provide this long-term perspective by reconstructing past summer temperature variability at Yamal Peninsula – a hotspot of recent warming – over the past 7638 years using annually resolved tree-ring records. We demonstrate that the recent anthropogenic warming interrupted a multi-millennial cooling trend. We find the industrial-era warming to be unprecedented in rate and to have elevated the summer temperature to levels above those reconstructed for the past seven millennia (in both 30-year mean and the frequency of extreme summers). This is undoubtedly of concern for the natural and human systems that are being impacted by climatic changes that lie outside the envelope of natural climatic variations for this region.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Data availability: The data used to perform our analysis as well as our results have been uploaded to Zenodo and are accessible using the following link https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6477133. Code availability: The codes that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding authors upon reasonable request. Acknowledgements: R.M.H., S.G.S., A.Y.S., and L.A.G. received funding from the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (no. 18-05-00575). M.S., C.C., S.G., and P.F. received funding from the SNF Sinergia project CALDERA (no. 183571). V.V.K. acknowledges support from the Russian Science Foundation (no. 21-14-00330). G.vA. acknowledges support from the SNF project XELLCLIM (no. 182398). T.J.O. acknowledges support from UK NERC project GloSAT (no. NE/S015582/1).
Uncontrolled Keywords: chemistry(all),biochemistry, genetics and molecular biology(all),general,physics and astronomy(all) ,/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1600
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA
UEA Research Groups: Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Climatic Research Unit
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences
Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Centres > Water Security Research Centre
Related URLs:
Depositing User: LivePure Connector
Date Deposited: 16 Aug 2022 08:30
Last Modified: 13 Jun 2023 08:41
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/87285
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-32629-x

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