Comment on David Sanders et al., 'Simulating the effects of the alternative vote in the 2010 UK general election'

Hugh-Jones, David ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8360-8884 (2011) Comment on David Sanders et al., 'Simulating the effects of the alternative vote in the 2010 UK general election'. Parliamentary Affairs, 64 (4). pp. 763-766. ISSN 0031-2290

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Abstract

Sanders, Clarke, Stewart and Whiteley (2011) simulate the 2010 election under the Alternative Vote (AV). Their results show large gains for the Liberal Democrats. I alter their methodology to make the estimation of voters first preferences under AV more accurate. With this change, the Liberal Democrats gains are considerably smaller, on the order of 10 seats or less. Bootstrap estimation shows that a Lib-Lab majority coalition would probably not have been feasible under AV.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: sociology and political science,law ,/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/3300/3312
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Economics
Related URLs:
Depositing User: LivePure Connector
Date Deposited: 20 Jul 2022 10:30
Last Modified: 20 Jul 2022 10:30
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/86716
DOI: 10.1093/pa/gsr021

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