The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions

Conway, Declan, Nicholls, Robert J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9715-1109, Brown, Sally, Tebboth, Mark G.L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1193-8080, Adger, William Neil, Ahmad, Bashir, Biemans, Hester, Crick, Florence, Lutz, Arthur F., De Campos, Ricardo Safra, Said, Mohammed, Singh, Chandni, Zaroug, Modathir Abdalla Hassan, Ludi, Eva, New, Mark and Wester, Philippus (2019) The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions. Nature Climate Change, 9 (7). pp. 503-511. ISSN 1758-678X

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Abstract

Studies of climate change at specific intervals of future warming have primarily been addressed through top-down approaches using climate projections and modelled impacts. In contrast, bottom-up approaches focus on the recent past and present vulnerability. Here, we examine climate signals at different increments of warming and consider the need to reconcile top-down and bottom-up approaches. We synthesise insights from recent studies in three climate-sensitive systems where change is a defining feature of the human-environment system. Whilst top-down and bottom-up approaches generate complementary insights into who and what is at risk, integrating their results is a much-needed step towards developing relevant information to address the needs of immediate adaptation decisions.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: environmental science (miscellaneous),social sciences (miscellaneous),sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2300/2301
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Global Development (formerly School of International Development)
University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA
UEA Research Groups: University of East Anglia Schools > Faculty of Science > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Collaborative Centre for Sustainable Use of the Seas
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Depositing User: LivePure Connector
Date Deposited: 17 Jul 2019 14:30
Last Modified: 22 Oct 2022 05:03
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/71773
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0502-0

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