Fact Sheet for “Consistency of Modeled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”

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Santer, Ben, Thorne, Peter, Haimberger, Leo, Taylor, Karl, Wigley, Tom, Lanzante, John, Solomon, Susan, Free, Melissa, Gleckler, Peter, Jones, Phil ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493, Karl, Tom, Klein, Steve, Mears, Carl, Nychka, Doug, Schmidt, Gavin, Sherwood, Steve and Wentz, Frank (2018) Fact Sheet for “Consistency of Modeled and Observed Temperature Trends in the Tropical Troposphere”. In: Climate Modelling. Springer, pp. 73-84. ISBN 978-3-319-65057-9

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Abstract

Using state-of-the-art observational datasets and results from a large archive of computer model simulations, a consortium of scientists from 12 different institutions has resolved a long-standing conundrum in climate science—the apparent discrepancy between simulated and observed temperature trends in the tropics. Research published by this group indicates that there is no fundamental discrepancy between modeled and observed tropical temperature trends when one accounts for: (1) the (currently large) uncertainties in observations; and (2) the statistical uncertainties in estimating trends from observations. These results refute a recent claim that model and observed tropical temperature trends “disagree to a statistically significant extent”. This claim was based on the application of a flawed statistical test and the use of older observational datasets.

Item Type: Book Section
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
UEA Research Groups: Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Climatic Research Unit
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences
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Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 11 May 2018 14:30
Last Modified: 24 Sep 2024 08:09
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/67038
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6_4

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