Conducting robust ecological analyses with climate data

Suggitt, Andrew J., Platts, Philip J., Barata, Izabela M., Bennie, Jonathan J., Burgess, Malcolm D., Bystriakova, Nadia, Duffield, Simon, Ewing, Steven R., Gillingham, Phillipa K., Harper, Anna, Hartley, Andrew J., Hemming, Deborah L., Maclean, Ilya M. D., Maltby, Katherine, Marshall, Harry H., Morecroft, Mike D., Pearce-Higgins, James, Pearce-Kelly, Paul, Phillimore, Albert B., Price, Jeff T., Pyke, Ayesha, Stewart, James E., Warren, Rachel ORCID: and Hill, Jane K. (2017) Conducting robust ecological analyses with climate data. Oikos, 126 (11). 1533–1541. ISSN 0030-1299

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Although the number of studies discerning the impact of climate change on ecological systems continues to increase, there has been relatively little sharing of the lessons learnt when accumulating this evidence. At a recent workshop entitled ‘Using climate data in ecological research’ held at the UK Met Office, ecologists and climate scientists came together to discuss the robust analysis of climate data in ecology. The discussions identified three common pitfalls encountered by ecologists: 1) selection of inappropriate spatial resolutions for analysis; 2) improper use of publically available data or code; and 3) insufficient representation of the uncertainties behind the adopted approach. Here, we discuss how these pitfalls can be avoided, before suggesting ways that both ecology and climate science can move forward. Our main recommendation is that ecologists and climate scientists collaborate more closely, on grant proposals and scientific publications, and informally through online media and workshops. More sharing of data and code (e.g. via online repositories), lessons and guidance would help to reconcile differing approaches to the robust handling of data. We call on ecologists to think critically about which aspects of the climate are relevant to their study system, and to acknowledge and actively explore uncertainty in all types of climate data. And we call on climate scientists to make simple estimates of uncertainty available to the wider research community. Through steps such as these, we will improve our ability to robustly attribute observed ecological changes to climate or other factors, while providing the sort of influential, comprehensive analyses that efforts to mitigate and adapt to climate change so urgently require.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA
UEA Research Groups: University of East Anglia Schools > Faculty of Science > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Environmental Social Sciences
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Environmental Biology
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Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 17 May 2017 06:00
Last Modified: 20 Oct 2023 01:06
DOI: 10.1111/oik.04203


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