Electricity portfolio innovation for energy security: the case of carbon constrained China

Chalvatzis, Konstantinos ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9829-7030 and Rubel, Keagan (2015) Electricity portfolio innovation for energy security: the case of carbon constrained China. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 100. pp. 267-276.

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China’s energy sector is under pressure to achieve secure and affordable supply and a clear decarbonisation path. We examine the longitudinal trajectory of the Chinese electricity supply security and model the near future supply security based on the 12th 5 year plan. Our deterministic approach combines Shannon-Wiener, Herfindahl-Hirschman and electricity import dependence indices for supply security appraisal. We find that electricity portfolio innovation allows China to provide secure energy supply despite increasing import dependence. It is argued that long-term aggressive deployment of renewable energy will unblock China’s coal-biased technological lock-in and increase supply security in all fronts. However, reduced supply diversity in China during the 1990s will not recover until after 2020s due to the long-term coal lock-in that can threaten to hold China’s back from realising its full potential.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: energy security,china,electricity sector,climate change policy,diversification,sdg 7 - affordable and clean energy,sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/affordable_and_clean_energy
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences > Norwich Business School
University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA
Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 19 Dec 2015 07:10
Last Modified: 21 Oct 2022 01:05
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/55764
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.07.012


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