Aggregating casual judgments

Dietrich, Franz, Bradley, R. and List, C. (2014) Aggregating casual judgments. Philosophy of Science, 81 (4). pp. 491-515. ISSN 1539-767X

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Decision making typically requires judgments about causal relations: we need to know the causal effects of our actions and the causal relevance of various environmental factors. We investigate how several individuals’ causal judgments can be aggregated into collective causal judgments. First, we consider the aggregation of causal judgments via the aggregation of probabilistic judgments and identify the limitations of this approach. We then explore the possibility of aggregating causal judgments independently of probabilistic ones. Formally, we introduce the problem of causal-network aggregation. Finally, we revisit the aggregation of probabilistic judgments when this is constrained by prior aggregation of qualitative causal judgments.

Item Type: Article
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Economics
Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 06 Dec 2015 02:00
Last Modified: 23 Oct 2022 00:02
DOI: 10.1086/678044

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