Moberg, Anders and Jones, Philip D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493
(2004)
Regional climate model simulations of daily maximum and minimum near-surface temperatures across Europe compared with observed station data 1961-1990.
Climate Dynamics, 23 (7-8).
pp. 695-715.
ISSN 0930-7575
Abstract
Simulations of the present-day temperature climate in Europe obtained with the dynamic regional climate model HadRM3P from the Hadley Centre are evaluated. Observed daily temperature maxima (Tx) and minima (Tn) for the 1961-1990 period at 185 stations are compared with their nearest corresponding HadRM3P grid-box data. The model generally performs well over the UK and elsewhere between latitudes 50 and 55°N, with biases mostly within ±0.5 K. In other areas coherent regions with seasonal biases up to more than ±5 K exist. In some areas, biases in climatological averages are associated with even larger errors (up to more than ±15 K) in the upper/lower extreme temperature range. Both areas with systematically overestimated and underestimated intra-seasonal daily temperature variances exist, but overestimation dominates. Too hot summer Tx south of about 45°N are associated with drying soils in the model. This problem may occur further north in "future" integrations with a greenhouse-gas induced warming. Given the existence of errors in the simulations of the present-day climate, we recommend that results from future scenario integrations are treated with care.
Item Type: | Article |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action |
UEA Research Groups: | Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Climatic Research Unit |
Depositing User: | Rosie Cullington |
Date Deposited: | 25 Jul 2011 13:06 |
Last Modified: | 16 Jun 2023 23:39 |
URI: | https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/34081 |
DOI: | 10.1007/s00382-004-0464-3 |
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