Santer, B. D., Wigley, T. M. L., Gaffen, D. J., Bengtsson, L., Doutriaux, C., Boyle, J. S., Esch, M., Hnilo, J. J., Jones, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493, Meehl, G. A., Roeckner, E., Taylor, K. E. and Wehner, M. F.
(2000)
Interpreting differential temperature trends at the surface and in the lower troposphere.
Science, 287 (5456).
pp. 1227-1232.
ISSN 1095-9203
Abstract
Estimated global-scale temperature trends at Earth's surface (as recorded by thermometers) and in the lower troposphere (as monitored by satellites) diverge by up to 0.14°C per decade over the period 1979 to 1998. Accounting for differences in the spatial coverage of satellite and surface measurements reduces this differential, but still leaves a statistically significant residual of roughly 0.1°C per decade. Natural internal climate variability alone, as simulated in three state-of-the-art coupled atmosphere- ocean models, cannot completely explain this residual trend difference. A model forced by a combination of anthropogenic factors and volcanic aerosols yields surface-troposphere temperature trend differences closest to those observed.
Item Type: | Article |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action |
Depositing User: | Rosie Cullington |
Date Deposited: | 20 Jul 2011 11:00 |
Last Modified: | 24 Oct 2022 03:56 |
URI: | https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/33993 |
DOI: | 10.1126/science.287.5456.1227 |
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