Climate variability and dengue fever in warm and humid Mexico

Colon-Gonzalez, FJ, Lake, IR and Bentham, G (2011) Climate variability and dengue fever in warm and humid Mexico. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 84 (5). pp. 757-763. ISSN 0002-9637

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Abstract

Multiple linear regression models were fitted to look for associations between changes in the incidence rate of dengue fever and climate variability in the warm and humid region of Mexico. Data were collected for 12 Mexican provinces over a 23-year period (January 1985 to December 2007). Our results show that the incidence rate or risk of infection is higher during El Niño events and in the warm and wet season. We provide evidence to show that dengue fever incidence was positively associated with the strength of El Niño and the minimum temperature, especially during the cool and dry season. Our study complements the understanding of dengue fever dynamics in the region and may be useful for the development of early warning systems.

Item Type: Article
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
Related URLs:
Depositing User: Rosie Cullington
Date Deposited: 04 Jul 2011 08:03
Last Modified: 21 Apr 2020 16:43
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/33243
DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.2011.10-0609

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