Assessing the robustness of zonal mean climate change detection

Thorne, Peter W., Jones, Phil D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493, Osborn, Tim J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-6799, Davies, Trevor D., Tett, Simon F. B., Parker, David E., Stott, Peter A., Jones, Gareth S. and Allen, Myles R. (2002) Assessing the robustness of zonal mean climate change detection. Geophysical Research Letters, 29 (19). ISSN 0094-8276

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Abstract

We assess the robustness of previous optimal detection and attribution studies considering zonal-mean temperatures. Principal results, which have consistently pointed towards a demonstrable anthropogenic influence on recently observed upper air temperatures, are confirmed. Importantly our detection results are not critically dependent on the inclusion of stratospheric as well as tropospheric temperatures. We find that detection is dependent on input field pre-processing choices, and on the choice of detection algorithm. There are a number of cases where either no signals are detected, or results fail a consistency test.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA
UEA Research Groups: Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Climatic Research Unit
University of East Anglia Schools > Faculty of Science > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Centres > Water Security Research Centre
Depositing User: Rosie Cullington
Date Deposited: 01 Jul 2011 10:37
Last Modified: 16 Jun 2023 08:30
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/33167
DOI: 10.1029/2002GL015717

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