Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: A case study

He, Yi, Wetterhall, Fredrik, Bao, Hongjun, Cloke, Hannah, Li, Zhijia, Pappenberger, Florian, Hu, Yuzhong, Manful, Desmond and Huang, Yingchun (2010) Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: A case study. Atmospheric Science Letters, 11 (2). pp. 132-138.

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Abstract

We present a case study using the TIGGE database for flood warning in the Upper Huai catchment (ca. 30 672 km2). TIGGE ensemble forecasts from 6 meteorological centres with 10-day lead time were extracted and disaggregated to drive the Xinanjiang model to forecast discharges for flood events in July-September 2008. The results demonstrated satisfactory flood forecasting skills with clear signals of floods up to 10 days in advance. The forecasts occasionally show discrepancies both in time and space. Forecasting quality could potentially be improved by using temporal and spatial corrections of the forecasted precipitation.

Item Type:	Article
Faculty \ School:	Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA
UEA Research Groups:	University of East Anglia Schools > Faculty of Science > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
Depositing User:	Rosie Cullington
Date Deposited:	25 May 2011 14:33
Last Modified:	20 Mar 2023 10:32
URI:	https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/31376
DOI:	10.1002/asl.270

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