The patterns of induced diffusion: Evidence from the international diffusion of wind energy

Davies, Stephen and Diaz-Rainey, Ivan (2011) The patterns of induced diffusion: Evidence from the international diffusion of wind energy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78 (7). pp. 1227-1241.

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Recent years have seen growing academic interest in the concept of induced diffusion as efforts to address concerns about energy security and climate change have intensified. Research on induced diffusion explores whether policy tools or interventions can incentivise the diffusion of innovations. This body of literature has explored the effectiveness and efficiency of various policy interventions and as such has been mainly concerned with the determinants of diffusion. This paper is, by way of contrast, concerned with the patterns of diffusion when diffusion is induced. Drawing on the Bass and Davies models of innovation diffusion we develop a number of propositions that suggest that the patterns of diffusion are different when policy plays a role in the diffusion process. These propositions are then econometrically tested in the context of the international diffusion of wind energy in 25 OECD countries. We find that, as predicted, without effective and strong policy interventions, countries will have conventional logistic diffusion with very similar speeds of diffusion. However, as expected the patterns of diffusion take on a different functional form (Bass curve) when there is a strong policy inducement. We conclude by discussing the implications and limitations of these results and suggesting avenues for further research.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: sdg 7 - affordable and clean energy,sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/affordable_and_clean_energy
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences > Norwich Business School
Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Economics
UEA Research Groups: Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Groups > Industrial Economics
Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Centres > Centre for Competition Policy
Depositing User: Ivan Diaz-Rainey
Date Deposited: 05 Apr 2011 08:30
Last Modified: 15 May 2023 00:05
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.03.012

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