England's Rural Futures: A Socio-Geographical Approach to Scenarios Analysis

Lowe, Philip and Ward, Neil (2009) England's Rural Futures: A Socio-Geographical Approach to Scenarios Analysis. Regional Studies, 43 (10). pp. 1319-1332. ISSN 1360-0591

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Abstract

Lowe P. and Ward N. England's rural futures: a socio-geographical approach to scenarios analysis, Regional Studies. The paper reports on an exercise to generate alternative future scenarios for rural England through a statistical approach set in a firm conceptual framework. It identifies predominant contemporary trends affecting England's rural areas, geographically differentiates them, and projects them forward using formal modelling. The resultant set of twenty-year future scenarios for the English countryside, intended to help stimulate public debate on rural futures, is presented and discussed. The analysis suggests that in-migrant commuters and retirees are likely to be the major forces impacting on rural social geography in the future.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: rural areas,rural england,futures analysis,scenario analysis
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences
Related URLs:
Depositing User: Nicola Secker
Date Deposited: 30 Mar 2011 09:07
Last Modified: 18 Jun 2020 23:39
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/26943
DOI: 10.1080/00343400903365169

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