Tools
Tools
Fridlind, Ann M., Elsaesser, Gregory S., Lier-Walqui, Marcus van, Cesana, Grégory V., Weatherhead, Elizabeth, Tselioudis, George, Schmidt, Gavin, Barahona, Donifan, Cairns, Brian, Collins, William D. 
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4463-9848, Considine, David B., Cucurull, Lidia, Digirolamo, Larry, Emory, Amber, Hasekamp, Otto, He, Shan, Kramer, Ryan, Lebsock, Matthew, Lee, Tsengdar, Leroy, Stephen, Lin, Wuyin, Lugauer, Steven, Miller, Daniel, Mülmenstädt, Johannes, Oreopoulos, Lazaros, Posselt, Derek J. and Zelinka, Mark D.
(2026)
Toward a Climate OSSE Framework for Satellite Mission Design.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 107 (3).
pp. 431-445.
ISSN 0003-0007
Preview |
PDF (Towards a Climate OSSE Framework - Revision1 - FINAL)
- Accepted Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution. Download (672kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The rich history of observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs) does not yet include a well-established framework for using climate models. The need for a climate OSSE is triggered by the need to quantify the value of a particular measurement for reducing the uncertainty in climate predictions, which differ from numerical weather predictions in that they depend on future atmospheric composition rather than the current state of the weather. However, both weather and climate modeling communities share a need for motivating major observing system investments. Here, we outline a new framework for climate OSSEs that leverages the use of machine learning to calibrate climate model physics against existing satellite data. We demonstrate its application using NASA’s GISS-E3 model to objectively quantify the value of potential future improvements in spaceborne measurements of Earth’s planetary boundary layer. A mature climate OSSE framework should be able to quantitatively compare the ability of proposed observing system architectures to answer a climate-related question, thus offering added value throughout the mission design process, which is subject to increasingly rapid advances in instrument and satellite technology. Technical considerations include selection of observational benchmarks and climate projection metrics, approaches to pinpoint the sources of model physics uncertainty that dominate uncertainty in projections, and the use of instrument simulators. Community and policy-making considerations include the potential to interface with an established culture of model intercom-parison projects and a growing need to economically assess the value-driven efficiency of social spending on Earth observations.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | Publisher Copyright: © 2026 American Meteorological Society. |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | climate models,climate prediction,experimental design,machine learning,planning,satellite observations,atmospheric science,sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1900/1902 |
| Faculty \ School: | Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences |
| Related URLs: | |
| Depositing User: | LivePure Connector |
| Date Deposited: | 14 Jul 2026 15:46 |
| Last Modified: | 19 Jul 2026 05:37 |
| URI: | https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/103849 |
| DOI: | 10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0242.1 |
Downloads
Downloads per month over past year
Actions (login required)
 |
View Item |