Future climate of the Gulf/Caribbean Basin from atmospheric general circulation models

Wigley, T. M.L. and Santer, B. D. (1993) Future climate of the Gulf/Caribbean Basin from atmospheric general circulation models. Climate Dynamics. pp. 31-54. ISSN 0930-7575

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Abstract

Changes in global climate over the past 100 years are reviewed as a backdrop to an assessment of future climatic change under greenhouse-gas forcing. For the Gulf/Caribbean basin, the only GCM result that one can place confidence in is a general warming. There is some evidence of decreased winter/spring precipitation in the northern part of the basin and increased winter/spring precipitation in the southern part. In summer and autumn the models show no consistent patterns of change. Based on the observed statistical link between hurricane frequency and sea-surface temperatures, it is possible that the mean number of hurricanes per year may increase. -from Authors

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	environmental science(all),earth and planetary sciences(all) ,/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2300
Faculty \ School:	Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
Related URLs:	http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?...
Depositing User:	LivePure Connector
Date Deposited:	23 Mar 2026 10:30
Last Modified:	23 Mar 2026 10:30
URI:	https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/102546
DOI:	issn:0930-7575

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