Going beyond two degrees? The risks and opportunities of alternative options

Jordan, Andrew, Rayner, Tim, Schroeder, Heike, Adger, Neil, Anderson, Kevin, Bows, Alice, Le Quéré, Corinne, Joshi, Manoj, Mander, Sarah, Vaughan, Naomi and Whitmarsh, Lorraine (2013) Going beyond two degrees? The risks and opportunities of alternative options. Climate Policy, 13 (6). pp. 751-769. ISSN 1469-3062

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    Abstract

    Since the mid-1990s, the aim of keeping climate change within 2 °C has become firmly entrenched in policy discourses. In the past few years, the likelihood of achieving it has been increasingly called into question. The debate around what to do with a target that seems less and less achievable is, however, only just beginning. As the UN commences a two-year review of the 2 °C target, this article moves beyond the somewhat binary debates about whether or not it should or will be met, in order to analyse more fully some of the alternative options that have been identified but not fully explored in the existing literature. For the first time, uncertainties, risks, and opportunities associated with four such options are identified and synthesized from the literature. The analysis finds that the significant risks and uncertainties associated with some options may encourage decision makers to recommit to the 2 °C target as the least unattractive course of action.

    Item Type: Article
    Additional Information: Gold Open Access
    Uncontrolled Keywords: adaptation policy,climate policy,global warming,governance,mitigation policy,post-2012 negotiations,risk governance,two degrees,unfcc
    Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment (CSERGE)
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Science, Society and Sustainability
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Resources, Sustainability and Governance
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Climate, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences
    Faculty of Social Sciences > School of International Development
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Groups > Climate Change
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Groups > Global Environmenal Justice
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Groups > Globalisation and CSR
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Marine and Atmospheric Sciences
    Faculty of Science > Tyndall Centre for Climatic Change
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Climatic Research Unit
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Volcanoes@UEA
    University of East Anglia > Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Meteorology, Oceanography and Climate Dynamics
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    Depositing User: Pure Connector
    Date Deposited: 09 Dec 2013 13:22
    Last Modified: 25 Jul 2018 09:07
    URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/45694
    DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2013.835705

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