European attitudes to refugees after the Russian invasion of Ukraine

Moise, Alexandru D., Dennison, James ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3090-7124 and Kriesi, Hanspeter (2024) European attitudes to refugees after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. West European Politics, 47 (2). pp. 356-381. ISSN 0140-2382

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Abstract

Why do attitudes to refugees vary? An original panel is used in five EU states – France, Germany, Hungary, Italy and Poland – to explain European attitudes towards three groups of refugees following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. It is shown that European attitudes to Ukrainian refugees are determined by predispositions to immigration and perceptions of the war and actors involved, with European identity and contact with refugees being relatively unimportant. These findings are validated with dynamic panel models and attitudes towards the Temporary Protection Directive. A ‘spill-over’ effect is further demonstrated, whereby attitudes to Ukrainian refugees positively affect attitudes to Afghan and Somali refugees, and a declining ‘rally-around-the-flag’ effect over time. These findings contribute to the literature on attitudinal formation, showing the relative malleability of attitudes to refugees as a function of their embeddedness in broader attitudinal patterns (particularly to immigration and geopolitics), changing context (the different stages of the war), and spill-over from views towards other refugee groups.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Data availability statement: Replication data and code are available online at https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/KTQNOW Funding information: This work was supported by European Research Council [Grant Number ERC-2018-SyGSH], in the scope of the project SOLID – Policy Crisis and Crisis Politics, Sovereignty, Solidarity and Identity in the EU post 2008.
Uncontrolled Keywords: sdg 10 - reduced inequalities,sdg 16 - peace, justice and strong institutions ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/reduced_inequalities
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Arts and Humanities > School of Politics, Philosophy, Language and Communication Studies
Depositing User: LivePure Connector
Date Deposited: 31 Aug 2023 15:31
Last Modified: 04 Mar 2024 18:20
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/92960
DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2023.2229688

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