Transportation and air quality perspectives and projections in a Mediterranean country, the case of Greece

Spyropoulos, Georgios C., Nastos, Panagiotis T., Moustris, Konstantinos P. and Chalvatzis, Konstantinos J. ORCID: (2022) Transportation and air quality perspectives and projections in a Mediterranean country, the case of Greece. Land, 11 (2). ISSN 2073-445X

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This study provides a thorough review and analysis of the evolution of the Greek vehicle fleet over the last ~30 years, which is next used for the generation of high granularity fleet projections, the assessment of associated air pollution and the estimation of relevant environmental benefits by 2030. The integrated methodology developed takes also into account vehicle clustering and the Brown’s Double Simple Exponential Smoothing technique that, together with the adoption of COPERT-based emission factors, allow for the estimation of the anticipated emissions in 2030. Expected 2030 emissions levels suggest a reduction across all pollutants compared to 2018, ranging from 3.7% for PM10 to 54.5% for NMVOC (and 46% for CO, 14% for SO2, 28% for NOX and 21% for CO2). We find that Greece is on track with national goals concerning the reduction of air pollution from the transportation sector, which designates the positive contribution anticipated by EVs and new, “greener” vehicles, and sets new challenges for the further improvement of the sector beyond the 2030 outlook.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: air pollution,electric vehicles,exponential smoothing,greece,transportation policy,vehicle fleet projections,global and planetary change,ecology,nature and landscape conservation ,/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2300/2306
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences > Norwich Business School
University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA
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Depositing User: LivePure Connector
Date Deposited: 17 Feb 2022 12:30
Last Modified: 22 Oct 2022 17:35
DOI: 10.3390/land11020152


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