Tools
Tools
Wahl, T., Haigh, I. D., Nicholls, R. J. 
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9715-1109, Arns, A., Dangendorf, S., Hinkel, J. and Slangen, A. B. A.
(2017)
Understanding extreme sea levels for broad-scale coastal impact and adaptation analysis.
Nature Communications, 8.
ISSN 2041-1723
Preview |
PDF (Published_Version)
- Published Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution. Download (2MB) | Preview |
Abstract
One of the main consequences of mean sea level rise (SLR) on human settlements is an increase in flood risk due to an increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme sea levels (ESL). While substantial research efforts are directed towards quantifying projections and uncertainties of future global and regional SLR, corresponding uncertainties in contemporary ESL have not been assessed and projections are limited. Here we quantify, for the first time at global scale, the uncertainties in present-day ESL estimates, which have by default been ignored in broad-scale sea-level rise impact assessments to date. ESL uncertainties exceed those from global SLR projections and, assuming that we meet the Paris agreement goals, the projected SLR itself by the end of the century in many regions. Both uncertainties in SLR projections and ESL estimates need to be understood and combined to fully assess potential impacts and adaptation needs.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | chemistry(all),biochemistry, genetics and molecular biology(all),physics and astronomy(all) ,/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/1600 |
| Faculty \ School: | University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA |
| UEA Research Groups: | University of East Anglia Schools > Faculty of Science > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Collaborative Centre for Sustainable Use of the Seas |
| Related URLs: | |
| Depositing User: | LivePure Connector |
| Date Deposited: | 24 Oct 2020 00:20 |
| Last Modified: | 22 Oct 2022 07:21 |
| URI: | https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/77429 |
| DOI: | 10.1038/ncomms16075 |
Downloads
Downloads per month over past year
Actions (login required)
 |
View Item |