Loss of work productivity in a warming world: differences between developed and developing countries

Shuang, Yu, Jiangjiang, Xia, Zhongwei, Yan, Anzhi, Zhang, Xia, Yang, Guan, Dabo, Jiarui, Han, Jun, Wang, Liang, Chen and Yakun, Liu (2019) Loss of work productivity in a warming world: differences between developed and developing countries. Journal of Cleaner Production, 208. pp. 1219-1225. ISSN 0959-6526

[thumbnail of JCLP14469_AAM]
PDF (JCLP14469_AAM) - Accepted Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial No Derivatives.

Download (1MB) | Preview


Comparable estimates of the heat-related work productivity loss (WPL) in different countries over the world are difficult partly due to the lack of exact measures and comparable data for different counties. In this study, we analysed 4363 responses to a global online survey on the WPL during heat waves in 2016. The participants were from both developed and developing countries, facilitating estimates of the heat-related WPL across the world for the year. The heat-related WPL for each country involved was then deduced for increases of 1.5, 2, 3 and 4 °C in the global mean surface temperature under the representative concentration pathway scenarios in climate models. The average heat-related WPL in 2016 was 6.6 days for developing countries and 3.5 days for developed countries. The estimated heat-related WPL was negatively correlated with the gross domestic product per capita. When global surface temperatures increased by 1.5, 2, 3 and 4 °C, the corresponding WPL was 9 (19), 12 (31), 22 (61) and 33 (94) days for developed (developing) countries, quantifying how developing countries are more vulnerable to climate change from a particular point of view. Moreover, the heat-related WPL was unevenly distributed among developing countries. In a 2°C-warmer world, the heat-related WPL would be more than two months in Southeast Asia, the most influenced region. The results are considerable for developing strategy of adaptation especially for developing countries.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: adaptation,global warming targets,heat waves,mitigation,representative concentration pathways,work productivity loss,renewable energy, sustainability and the environment,environmental science(all),strategy and management,industrial and manufacturing engineering,sdg 7 - affordable and clean energy,sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2100/2105
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Global Development (formerly School of International Development)
UEA Research Groups: Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Centres > Water Security Research Centre
Related URLs:
Depositing User: LivePure Connector
Date Deposited: 12 Oct 2018 00:05
Last Modified: 21 Oct 2022 20:31
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/68482
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.10.067


Downloads per month over past year

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item