China's “Exported Carbon” Peak: Patterns, Drivers, and Implications

Mi, Zhifu, Meng, Jing, Green, Fergus, Coffman, D' Maris and Guan, Dabo (2018) China's “Exported Carbon” Peak: Patterns, Drivers, and Implications. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (9). pp. 4309-4318. ISSN 0094-8276

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Abstract

Over the past decade, China has entered a “new normal” phase in economic development, with its role in global trade flows changing significantly. This study estimates the driving forces of Chinese export‐embodied carbon emissions in the new normal phase, based on environmentally extended multiregional input‐output modeling and structural decomposition analysis. We find that Chinese export‐embodied CO2 emissions peaked in 2008 at a level of 1,657 million tones. The subsequent decline in CO2 emissions was mainly due to the changing structure of Chinese production. The peak in Chinese export‐embodied emissions is encouraging from the perspective of global climate change mitigation, as it implies downward pressure on global CO2 emissions. However, more attention should focus on ensuring that countries that may partly replace China as major production bases increase their exports using low‐carbon inputs.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: emission transfers,exports,china,multiregional input‐output,structural decomposition analysis
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences > School of International Development
Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
Related URLs:
Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 21 May 2018 12:30
Last Modified: 22 Apr 2020 06:40
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/67144
DOI: 10.1029/2018GL077915

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