China's “exported carbon” peak: Patterns, drivers, and implications

Mi, Zhifu, Meng, Jing, Green, Fergus, Coffman, D' Maris and Guan, Dabo (2018) China's “exported carbon” peak: Patterns, drivers, and implications. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (9). pp. 4309-4318. ISSN 0094-8276

[thumbnail of Published manuscript]
PDF (Published manuscript) - Published Version
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.

Download (573kB) | Preview


Over the past decade, China has entered a “new normal” phase in economic development, with its role in global trade flows changing significantly. This study estimates the driving forces of Chinese export‐embodied carbon emissions in the new normal phase, based on environmentally extended multiregional input‐output modeling and structural decomposition analysis. We find that Chinese export‐embodied CO2 emissions peaked in 2008 at a level of 1,657 million tones. The subsequent decline in CO2 emissions was mainly due to the changing structure of Chinese production. The peak in Chinese export‐embodied emissions is encouraging from the perspective of global climate change mitigation, as it implies downward pressure on global CO2 emissions. However, more attention should focus on ensuring that countries that may partly replace China as major production bases increase their exports using low‐carbon inputs.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: emission transfers,exports,china,multiregional input‐output,structural decomposition analysis,sdg 8 - decent work and economic growth,sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/decent_work_and_economic_growth
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Global Development (formerly School of International Development)
Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
UEA Research Groups: Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Centres > Water Security Research Centre
Related URLs:
Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 21 May 2018 12:30
Last Modified: 22 Oct 2022 03:48
DOI: 10.1029/2018GL077915


Downloads per month over past year

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item