Long-term trends in precipitation and temperature across the Caribbean

Jones, Philip D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5032-5493, Harpham, Colin, Harris, Ian, Goodess, Clare M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7462-4479, Burton, Aidan, Centella-Artola, Abel, Taylor, Michael A., Bezanilla-Morlot, Arnoldo, Campbell, Jayaka D., Stephenson, Tannecia S., Joslyn, Ottis, Nicholls, Keith and Baur, Timo (2016) Long-term trends in precipitation and temperature across the Caribbean. International Journal of Climatology, 36 (9). pp. 3314-3333. ISSN 0899-8418

[thumbnail of Manuscript]
PDF (Manuscript) - Accepted Version
Download (2MB) | Preview


This study considers long-term precipitation and temperature variability across the Caribbean using two gridded data sets (CRU TS 3.21 and GPCCv5). We look at trends across four different regions (Northern, Eastern, Southern and Western), for three different seasons (May to July, August to October and November to April) and for three different periods (1901–2012, 1951–2012 and 1979–2012). There are no century-long trends in precipitation in either data set, although all regions (with the exception of the Northern Caribbean) show decade-long periods of wetter or drier conditions. The most significant of these is for the Southern Caribbean region which was wetter than the 1961–1990 average from 1940 to 1956 and then drier from 1957 to 1965. Temperature in contrast shows statistically significant warming everywhere for the periods 1901–2012, 1951–2012 and for over half the area during 1979–2012. Data availability is a limiting issue over much of the region and we also discuss the reliability of the series we use in the context of what is known to be available in the CRU TS 3.21 data set. More station data have been collected but have either not been fully digitized yet or not made freely available both within and beyond the region.

Item Type: Article
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
University of East Anglia Research Groups/Centres > Theme - ClimateUEA
Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Education and Lifelong Learning
UEA Research Groups: Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Climatic Research Unit
Faculty of Science > Research Groups > Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences
Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 22 Mar 2016 09:22
Last Modified: 14 Jun 2023 12:24
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/57733
DOI: 10.1002/joc.4557


Downloads per month over past year

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item