Does a rainfall-based drought index simulate hydrological droughts?

Rahiz, Muhammad and New, Mark (2014) Does a rainfall-based drought index simulate hydrological droughts? International Journal of Climatology, 34 (9). pp. 2853-2871. ISSN 0899-8418

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The drought severity index (DSI) is applied at 3-, 6-, 12- and 24-month time scales to both monthly gridded rainfall and monthly river flow datasets to evaluate if a rainfall-based drought index is able to simulate hydrological droughts. Time series of the rainfall-based and the flow-based DSIs are analysed at different drought severities and seasons at seven benchmark catchments in England. The analysis also includes the ability of the indices to reproduce the statistics of three drought characteristics, namely drought intensity, frequency of drought months and frequency of drought events at a given duration. Results of this study show that: (1) the rainfall-based DSI is able to capture periods of low flows as can be seen in its ability to represent major hydrological drought events as simulated by the flow-based DSI, (2) the rainfall-based DSIs generally represent moderate hydrological droughts better than extremes as shown by the smaller difference between the rainfall-based and the flow-based DSIs in terms of the statistics of the three drought characteristics and (3) there is a positive relationship between the time scale of DSI and the intensity (and duration) of the drought event it produces. As a secondary objective, the study has shown that the monthly gridded rainfall is a good proxy for monthly catchment rainfall and can therefore be considered a reliable dataset against which climate change experiments can be evaluated. The study concludes that the DSI is a credible index in estimating hydrological droughts. The strong positive correlation between the rainfall-based and the flow-based DSI time series suggests that changes and trends in rainfall-based DSIs can provide useful inferences for understanding changes in future hydrological droughts, as well as meteorological droughts. It is hoped that results from this study provide useful information when utilizing the DSI for assessment of drought impacts and future planning and management of water resources.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: drought,river flow,rainfall,drought index,uk,water resources,sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Global Development (formerly School of International Development)
UEA Research Groups: Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Centres > Water Security Research Centre
Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 28 Apr 2015 14:02
Last Modified: 21 Oct 2022 00:51
DOI: 10.1002/joc.3879

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