The margins of export competition:A new approach to evaluating the impact of China on South African exports to Sub-Saharan Africa

Edwards, Lawrence and Jenkins, Rhys (2014) The margins of export competition:A new approach to evaluating the impact of China on South African exports to Sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of Policy Modeling, 36 (Supplement 1). S132-S150. ISSN 0161-8938

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Abstract

Chinese manufacturing exports to Sub-Saharan Africa challenge South Africa's economic influence in the region. To evaluate this, the paper develops and applies a conceptual framework that distinguishes between the intensive and extensive margins of Chinese export competition. South African exports of new and existing manufactured products to Sub-Saharan Africa are found to have been negatively affected by Chinese competition relative to exports from other countries. Consequently, South Africa's exports to the region in 2010 were 20% lower than they would have been if they had been affected to the same degree as other countries. The crowding-out effects are found to be strongest in medium- and low-technology products. Overall, the data suggest that Chinese exports of manufactures have diminished South Africa's participation and economic influence in the region.

Item Type: Article
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Social Sciences > School of International Development
Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 12 Dec 2013 16:58
Last Modified: 21 Apr 2020 22:26
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/45613
DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2013.10.003

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