Parsons, D. J., Armstrong, A. C., Turnpenny, J. R., Matthews, A. M., Cooper, K. and Clark, J. A. (2001) Integrated models of livestock systems for climate change studies. 1. Grazing systems. Global Change Biology, 7 (1). pp. 93-112. ISSN 1354-1013

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Abstract

The potential impact of climate change by the year 2050 on British grazing livestock systems is assessed through the use of simulation models of farming systems. The submodels, consisting of grass production, livestock feeding, livestock thermal balance, the thermal balance of naturally ventilated buildings and a stochastic weather generator, are described. These are integrated to form system models for sheep, beef calves and dairy cows. They are applied to scenarios representing eastern (dry) lowlands, western (wet) lowlands and uplands. The results show that such systems should be able to adapt to the expected climatic changes. There is likely to be a small increase in grass production, possibly allowing an increase in total productivity in some cases.

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	buildings,climate change,grass,integrated assessment,physiology,ruminants,environmental impact,grazing,livestock farming,united kingdom,bos taurus,bovidae,ovis aries
Faculty \ School:	Faculty of Social Sciences > School of Education and Lifelong Learning Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences University of East Anglia > Faculty of Arts and Humanities > Research Groups > Political, Social and International Studies
Depositing User:	Pure Connector
Date Deposited:	03 Dec 2013 14:58
Last Modified:	21 Apr 2020 22:19
URI:	https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/45016
DOI:	10.1046/j.1365-2486.2001.00392.x

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