Global carbon dioxide emissions scenarios for aviation derived from IPCC storylines: A meta-analysis

Gudmundsson, Sveinn Vidar and Anger-Kraavi, Annela (2012) Global carbon dioxide emissions scenarios for aviation derived from IPCC storylines: A meta-analysis. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 17 (1). pp. 61-65. ISSN 1879-2340

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Abstract

This research summarises the aviation CO2 emissions studies that use the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IS92 and Special Report on Emissions Scenarios storylines as GDP growth assumptions to estimate future global carbon dioxide emissions from the aviation sector. The inter-quartile mean and the first and third quartiles are calculated to enable researches studying climate change policies for aviation to use an average global baseline scenario with lower and upper boundaries. We also perform a simple meta-analysis to analyse the assumptions used to derive the baseline scenario and conclude, as expected, that change in revenue-tonne-kilometres and fuel-efficiency are the main drivers behind the baseline scenarios.

Item Type: Article
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
Depositing User: Pure Connector
Date Deposited: 09 Jul 2013 08:53
Last Modified: 21 Apr 2020 21:47
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/42793
DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2011.09.010

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