Berkhout, Frans, Hertin, Julia and Jordan, Andrew ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7678-1024
(2002)
Socio-economic futures in climate change impact assessment: Using scenarios as ‘learning machines'.
Global Environmental Change, 12 (2).
pp. 83-95.
Abstract
Climate impact assessment needs to take account of two interrelated processes: socio-economic change and climate change. To date, future change in socio-economic systems has not been sufficiently integrated with an analysis of climate change impacts. Participative and synthetic scenario approaches offer a means for dealing with critical issues of indeterminacy, innovation, reflexivity and framing in analysing change in socio-economic systems, paving the way for a coherent way of handling of socio-economic futures in impact assessment. We argue that scenarios represent heuristic tools that encourage social learning in climate impact assessment. The advantages and disadvantages of a scenario-based approach are explored using examples from regional climate impact assessment in the UK.
Item Type: | Article |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | sdg 13 - climate action ,/dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/climate_action |
Faculty \ School: | University of East Anglia > Faculty of Science > Research Centres > Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research |
Depositing User: | Rosie Cullington |
Date Deposited: | 14 Jun 2011 09:48 |
Last Modified: | 20 Mar 2023 09:34 |
URI: | https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/32440 |
DOI: | 10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00006-7 |
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