Socio-economic futures in climate change impact assessment: Using scenarios as ‘learning machines'

Berkhout, Frans, Hertin, Julia and Jordan, Andrew (2002) Socio-economic futures in climate change impact assessment: Using scenarios as ‘learning machines'. Global Environmental Change, 12 (2). pp. 83-95.

Full text not available from this repository. (Request a copy)

Abstract

Climate impact assessment needs to take account of two interrelated processes: socio-economic change and climate change. To date, future change in socio-economic systems has not been sufficiently integrated with an analysis of climate change impacts. Participative and synthetic scenario approaches offer a means for dealing with critical issues of indeterminacy, innovation, reflexivity and framing in analysing change in socio-economic systems, paving the way for a coherent way of handling of socio-economic futures in impact assessment. We argue that scenarios represent heuristic tools that encourage social learning in climate impact assessment. The advantages and disadvantages of a scenario-based approach are explored using examples from regional climate impact assessment in the UK.

Item Type: Article
Faculty \ School: Faculty of Science > School of Environmental Sciences
Depositing User: Rosie Cullington
Date Deposited: 14 Jun 2011 09:48
Last Modified: 31 Oct 2019 14:05
URI: https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/32440
DOI: 10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00006-7

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item